This is a mirror of the original BitMEX trollbox archive that used to be online here.
BitMEX disabled their archive after the DDOS attack so I have decided to make my mirror publicly available.

Well now, a few days after I made this mirror available to the public, the original archive from BitMEX is online again.
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[2016-06-23 23:48:11] rapidtrades : k
[2016-06-23 23:49:10] rapidtrades : http://www.oddschecker.com/politics/british-politics/eu-referendum/referendum-on-eu-membership-result
[2016-06-23 23:52:24] zanza : MM's going ham wiping out stops
[2016-06-23 23:54:54] laisee : remain in lead by 9k
[2016-06-23 23:55:15] tscha : Swindon 51220 remain, 61745 leave
[2016-06-23 23:56:00] rapidtrades : told u it won't do shit for bitcoin
[2016-06-23 23:56:32] rapidtrades : gbp/jpy crashed 1300 pips
[2016-06-23 23:56:32] BitMEX_Arthur : BOOM
[2016-06-23 23:56:51] rapidtrades : earlier
[2016-06-23 23:57:16] Rune : I think it might when it's closer to decisive
[2016-06-23 23:57:48] lockhedge : wow and 75.8% turnout
[2016-06-23 23:57:50] rapidtrades : nah
[2016-06-23 23:58:02] rapidtrades : leave is leading right now but that was expected
[2016-06-23 23:58:10] rapidtrades : earlier places to go for leave
[2016-06-23 23:59:11] lockhedge : you have to project turnout and UKIP election results from EP 2014
[2016-06-23 23:59:38] rapidtrades : they say turnout is good for remain
[2016-06-23 23:59:59] rapidtrades : cos the kids are out voting
[2016-06-24 00:00:15] boolander : some prefer taxation without representation
[2016-06-24 00:02:51] BitMEX_Arthur : Remain 56.4%, Leave 43.6%
[2016-06-24 00:03:05] rapidtrades : where
[2016-06-24 00:03:09] BitMEX_Arthur : Isles of Scilly vote to REMAIN
[2016-06-24 00:03:20] BitMEX_Arthur : Broxbourne votes to LEAVE
[2016-06-24 00:03:26] BitMEX_Arthur : Leave 66%, Remain 34%
[2016-06-24 00:03:35] laisee : does this mean Broxbourne will become a republic?
[2016-06-24 00:03:38] lockhedge : they said turnout is good for remain, but the last 2 results (Swindon and Broxbourne) show over average turnout in Out regions
[2016-06-24 00:04:06] rapidtrades : yea hearing the same on BBC
[2016-06-24 00:04:25] rapidtrades : still think baseline scenario is remain
[2016-06-24 00:04:32] BitMEX_Arthur : agreed
[2016-06-24 00:05:10] rapidtrades : good thing is we may get a rally now....earlier GBP was way overbought
[2016-06-24 00:05:15] tscha : glasgow apparently has very low turnout
[2016-06-24 00:06:15] rapidtrades : ahahaha suck it scotland
[2016-06-24 00:06:16] laisee : maybe pay-day was Wednesday in Glasgow?
[2016-06-24 00:07:22] lockhedge : turnout in London and Scotland will be crucial, it gets much tighter than i thought
[2016-06-24 00:08:06] rapidtrades : we'll see...
[2016-06-24 00:08:16] BitMEX_Arthur : London turnout lower than expected
[2016-06-24 00:08:31] rapidtrades : yessss
[2016-06-24 00:08:50] rapidtrades : lol a brexit will unleash days of turmoil in markets
[2016-06-24 00:09:02] rapidtrades : *fingers crossed
[2016-06-24 00:09:47] lockhedge : tscha: 56.3% http://election.news.sky.com/referendum/glasgow-2831
[2016-06-24 00:10:23] rapidtrades : wow that's low
[2016-06-24 00:10:55] BitMEX_Arthur : Kettering votes to LEAVE
[2016-06-24 00:11:02] BitMEX_Arthur : Remain 39%, Leave 61%
[2016-06-24 00:11:53] rapidtrades : we'll know in about 2 hrs
[2016-06-24 00:12:06] rapidtrades : i missed my chance to score big tonight tho...
[2016-06-24 00:13:13] lockhedge : city of london turnout 73.6%
[2016-06-24 00:13:33] rapidtrades : ah that's not good
[2016-06-24 00:14:33] tscha : rapidtrades: what are you betting on?
[2016-06-24 00:15:12] rapidtrades : nothing atm....want leave to win tho
[2016-06-24 00:20:35] rapidtrades : traders waiting for more certianty
[2016-06-24 00:20:40] rapidtrades : cable just ranging atm
[2016-06-24 00:21:02] rapidtrades : total now is 370 leave 344 remain
[2016-06-24 00:21:11] rapidtrades : 1,000s obv
[2016-06-24 00:21:58] BitMEX_Arthur : The University of East Anglia's referendum live blog predicts, on the basis of the first five results, that there will be a narrow win for Leave.
[2016-06-24 00:22:07] rapidtrades : yikes
[2016-06-24 00:22:18] rapidtrades : hold on to ur pants fellas
[2016-06-24 00:23:37] rapidtrades : only 12 out of 382 places are out tho
[2016-06-24 00:23:49] rapidtrades : how accurate have they been in the past
[2016-06-24 00:24:27] lockhedge : turnouts in London would indicate a Remain Barking & Dagenham 63.9% City of London 73.6% Ealing 70.1% Islington 70.4% Lambeth 67.5% Merton 73.5% Sutton 76% Wandsworth 72% Westminster 65%
[2016-06-24 00:24:42] BitMEX_Arthur : South Tyneside votes to LEAVE
[2016-06-24 00:24:43] rapidtrades : :(
[2016-06-24 00:24:51] BitMEX_Arthur : Remain 38%, Leave 62%
[2016-06-24 00:25:26] rapidtrades : betting odds still favor remain by about 2/1
[2016-06-24 00:25:44] BitMEX_Arthur : I think it's going to be a nail bitter
[2016-06-24 00:28:55] rapidtrades : leave will sink the pound below 1.4
[2016-06-24 00:29:05] rapidtrades : maybe even 1.3 on a spike
[2016-06-24 00:30:02] boolander : freedom only costs a buck-o-five
[2016-06-24 00:31:05] tscha : lockhedge: it's not about turnout in london compared to other cities, it's about turnout in london compared to projected turnout in london
[2016-06-24 00:31:12] rapidtrades : man 1 pip...can u believe that shit
[2016-06-24 00:31:22] tscha : and turnout in london is lower than expected, so it's bad for remain
[2016-06-24 00:31:35] rapidtrades : ovr 70% is high tho
[2016-06-24 00:31:52] BitMEX_Arthur : When will london results be in?
[2016-06-24 00:33:06] lockhedge : tscha: what projection? the 72-68 on day poll?
[2016-06-24 00:33:23] rapidtrades : BitMEX_Arthur: http://news.forexlive.com/!/regional-numbers-continue-to-show-leave-slightly-ahead-of-models-20160624
[2016-06-24 00:33:30] rapidtrades : see scpreadsheet
[2016-06-24 00:33:56] tscha : lockhedge: no clue, but I read it on I think telegraph-ticker that it is 2-3% lower
[2016-06-24 00:34:15] rapidtrades : london should be out according to sheet but its clearly not
[2016-06-24 00:34:19] rapidtrades : no big places out yet
[2016-06-24 00:35:06] REKT : Liquidated long on `ETHXBT`: Sell 4 @ 0.02167 :punch: :whale:
[2016-06-24 00:37:15] BitMEX_Arthur : Eilean Siar: Remain 55.2%, Leave 44.8% West Tyrone: Remain 66.8%, 33.2% Dundee City: Remain 59.8%, Leave 40.2%
[2016-06-24 00:37:28] rapidtrades : expected i think
[2016-06-24 00:38:37] rapidtrades : blue in the sheet are pro EU
[2016-06-24 00:39:12] lockhedge : tscha: afaik there are no real projections (hochrechnungen) in the UK, they would have to use historical and regional results
[2016-06-24 00:39:21] BitMEX_Arthur : Lagan Valley: Remain 46.9%, Leave 53.1% North Antrim: Remain 37.8%, Leave 62.2%
[2016-06-24 00:39:24] tscha : estimates
[2016-06-24 00:40:02] rapidtrades : leave out-performing
[2016-06-24 00:40:30] rapidtrades : betting odds still not changed muxh
[2016-06-24 00:40:36] BitMEX_Arthur : i'm going to party so hard tonight if leave wins
[2016-06-24 00:41:00] boolander : ^^^^
[2016-06-24 00:41:08] rapidtrades : ahahahahaha
[2016-06-24 00:41:10] boolander : jello shots in LKF
[2016-06-24 00:41:20] BitMEX_Arthur : boolander: Nah son Dom P train
[2016-06-24 00:41:22] BitMEX_Arthur : lol
[2016-06-24 00:41:30] boolander : Boom!
[2016-06-24 00:41:53] tscha : BitMEX_Arthur: are you trading on leave? or just hoping?
[2016-06-24 00:42:07] tscha : obviously it would be good for bitmex
[2016-06-24 00:42:10] BitMEX_Arthur : i'm hoping
[2016-06-24 00:42:11] Rune : 622 and 622.12 just trade each other
[2016-06-24 00:42:15] Rune : lol
[2016-06-24 00:44:58] luckynuke : bears and bulls raedy to fight on eth
[2016-06-24 00:47:25] tscha : Basildon - Remain 37048, Brexit 67251
[2016-06-24 00:47:35] tscha : wait
[2016-06-24 00:47:47] rapidtrades : wait for what :)
[2016-06-24 00:47:50] BitMEX_Arthur : Remain 30.4%, Leave 69.6%
[2016-06-24 00:47:57] BitMEX_Arthur : Hartlepool votes to LEAVE
[2016-06-24 00:48:12] tscha : I thought I had a typo
[2016-06-24 00:48:51] tscha : 68.6% brexit - 31-4% bremain (Basildon)
[2016-06-24 00:49:22] rapidtrades : yeaaaaaaaaaaaaaa
[2016-06-24 00:49:35] rapidtrades : cmon britain makes us proud
[2016-06-24 00:49:41] rapidtrades : and some monies too
[2016-06-24 00:50:45] BitMEX_Arthur : Renfrewshire votes to REMAIN Remain 64.8%, Leave 35.2% 1:48am Midlothian votes to REMAIN Remain 62.1%, Leave 37.9% 1:48am Merthyr Tydfil votes to LEAVE Remain 43.6%, Leave 56.4% 1:48am Stockton-on-Tees votes to LEAVE Remain 38.3%, Leave 61.7%
[2016-06-24 00:50:48] rapidtrades : Brexit totals: 723,486 leave 675,723 remain
[2016-06-24 00:52:02] rapidtrades : lol leave at 52% now
[2016-06-24 00:52:05] rapidtrades : holy shit
[2016-06-24 00:52:15] BitMEX_Arthur : still no london yet
[2016-06-24 00:52:21] BitMEX_Arthur : so don't get too happy
[2016-06-24 00:52:52] rapidtrades : :)
[2016-06-24 00:53:09] tscha : anybody knows what the expected % for remain is in London?
[2016-06-24 00:53:32] rapidtrades : rochford 67% leave
[2016-06-24 00:53:41] rapidtrades : leave now ahead 50k
[2016-06-24 00:53:55] BitMEX_Arthur : cable rallying
[2016-06-24 00:54:04] BitMEX_Arthur : someone must have some more results
[2016-06-24 00:54:06] rapidtrades : i se that
[2016-06-24 00:56:20] rapidtrades : things are heating up
[2016-06-24 00:56:30] rapidtrades : leave now up 100k
[2016-06-24 00:57:02] tscha : I wanted to go to bed at 11pm local time and get up at 6am.... now its 3am local time
[2016-06-24 00:57:23] tscha : goddamn brexit vote
[2016-06-24 00:57:32] BitMEX_Arthur : Haha I was going to go back to head cause i thot remain had it in the bag
[2016-06-24 00:57:34] BitMEX_Arthur : guess not
[2016-06-24 00:58:05] BitMEX_Arthur : Latest expert forecast: Leave will win A third forecast from the experts at the University of East Anglia - predicting a win for Leave.
[2016-06-24 00:58:20] BitMEX_Arthur : common
[2016-06-24 00:58:59] lockhedge : tscha: could only find this map of regional yougov poll results https://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/inlineimage/2016-06-20/freddie2.png
[2016-06-24 00:59:19] tscha : lockhedge: nice, thx
[2016-06-24 00:59:26] aethlios : pound down more
[2016-06-24 00:59:43] laisee : It's not a legally binding referemdam, I thought?
[2016-06-24 00:59:45] BitMEX_Arthur : giddy up baby
[2016-06-24 00:59:59] BitMEX_Arthur : laisee: maybe i don't know, but that's almost irrelevant
[2016-06-24 01:00:06] BitMEX_Arthur : if the population votes to leave and you dont
[2016-06-24 01:00:08] BitMEX_Arthur : oh boy
[2016-06-24 01:00:12] BitMEX_Arthur : that looks terrible
[2016-06-24 01:00:26] BitMEX_Arthur : it's all sentiment
[2016-06-24 01:00:28] laisee : Messy either way if leave wins
[2016-06-24 01:00:39] BitMEX_Arthur : yeah we just want uncertainty
[2016-06-24 01:01:03] laisee : FUD is the winner already ...
[2016-06-24 01:01:11] BitMEX_Arthur : Weymouth and Portland: Remain 39%, Leave 61% Middlesbrough: Remain 34.5%, Leave 65.5% Blaenau Gwent: Remain 38%, Leave 62% Flintshire: Remain 43.6%, Leave 56.4% Brentwood: Remain, 40.8%, Leave 59.2% Strangford: Remain 44.5%, Leave 55.5%
[2016-06-24 01:01:18] BitMEX_Arthur : LEAVE
[2016-06-24 01:01:20] tscha : we just want to see the world burn... brexit + trump <3
[2016-06-24 01:01:26] BitMEX_Arthur : More REMAIN results City of London: Remain 75.3%, Leave 24.7% Inverclyde: Remain 63.8%, Leave 36.2%
[2016-06-24 01:01:29] Rune : looks like leave is doing much better then expected
[2016-06-24 01:01:43] BitMEX_Arthur : GBP down, Bitcorn up
[2016-06-24 01:02:16] laisee : World in flames ... Bitcoin remains ...
[2016-06-24 01:02:31] BitMEX_Arthur : Swansea votes to LEAVE Remain 48.5%, Leave 51.5% 2:01am Wellingborough votes LEAVE Remain 37.6%, Leave 62.4% 2:00am Southend-on-Sea votes LEAVE Remain 41.9%, Leave 58.1%
[2016-06-24 01:03:08] tscha : BitMEX_Arthur: is that a bot copying those results or are you really that dedicated? :)
[2016-06-24 01:03:09] Rune : looks like how well leave is doing is starting to price into bitcoins rise
[2016-06-24 01:03:19] Rune : bitcoin could go up for hours
[2016-06-24 01:03:32] BitMEX_Arthur : tscha: i love binary events that's me
[2016-06-24 01:04:14] aethlios : pound 1.4401
[2016-06-24 01:04:18] BitMEX_Arthur : whole of my friend group is trading this shit too at banks and hedge funds, it's a fun morning
[2016-06-24 01:04:27] rapidtrades : ive sold again...wish me luck
[2016-06-24 01:04:28] aethlios : now selling pound hard
[2016-06-24 01:04:41] aethlios : 1.4375
[2016-06-24 01:04:48] aethlios : 1.4351
[2016-06-24 01:05:03] BitMEX_Arthur : corn is rising
[2016-06-24 01:05:05] aethlios : 1.4335
[2016-06-24 01:05:54] rapidtrades : KILL IT
[2016-06-24 01:06:11] aethlios : 1.4315 almost session low
[2016-06-24 01:06:40] aethlios : 1.429
[2016-06-24 01:06:50] BitMEX_Arthur : TO DA CORE
[2016-06-24 01:06:57] boolander : gamma gamma gamma gamma hammmmmma
[2016-06-24 01:07:00] Skitrx : pound is crashing?
[2016-06-24 01:07:02] aethlios : new session low 1.4255
[2016-06-24 01:07:23] aethlios : 1.4195
[2016-06-24 01:07:25] BitMEX_Arthur : corn spiking in china
[2016-06-24 01:07:36] lockhedge : i suspect Nigel Farage is personally trading this event
[2016-06-24 01:07:41] BitMEX_Arthur : lol
[2016-06-24 01:07:42] aethlios : pound -4.7%
[2016-06-24 01:07:45] BitMEX_Arthur : has is IG brokers account
[2016-06-24 01:07:48] BitMEX_Arthur : on steroids
[2016-06-24 01:07:50] aethlios : gold up 2%
[2016-06-24 01:08:13] aethlios : eur/usd -1.65%
[2016-06-24 01:08:13] messiaen8844 : Arthur, where can I watch brexit/,main data
[2016-06-24 01:08:18] tscha : leave now favourite at betting platforms
[2016-06-24 01:08:19] messiaen8844 : ?
[2016-06-24 01:08:22] rapidtrades : GUYS I THINK WE WON
[2016-06-24 01:08:25] BitMEX_Arthur : http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016/06/23/eu-referendum-will-it-be-brexit-exit-poll-and-results-live/
[2016-06-24 01:08:27] boolander : wonder if any hedge funds / financial institutions blow up after this
[2016-06-24 01:08:29] BitMEX_Arthur : rapidtrades: Don't get cocky
[2016-06-24 01:08:34] rapidtrades : HOLY SHIT WE WON
[2016-06-24 01:08:35] BitMEX_Arthur : London not in yet
[2016-06-24 01:08:42] aethlios : bloodbath pound 1.4075
[2016-06-24 01:08:50] BitMEX_Arthur : damn
[2016-06-24 01:09:03] BitMEX_Arthur : i mean i think everyone was sufficiently prepared for this
[2016-06-24 01:09:09] BitMEX_Arthur : not a repeat of EUR/CHF
[2016-06-24 01:09:38] BitMEX_Arthur : what's pound target if leave wins
[2016-06-24 01:09:48] boolander : these moves still tend to shake up some bad risk management
[2016-06-24 01:09:57] luckynuke : gb out ?
[2016-06-24 01:10:26] BitMEX_Arthur : nah leave is doing better than expected
[2016-06-24 01:10:30] BitMEX_Arthur : but it's still too early to call
[2016-06-24 01:10:35] aethlios : I live in Greece, situation here very bad, domino will start soon in e.u.
[2016-06-24 01:11:10] luckynuke : why isnt china moving their ass ?
[2016-06-24 01:11:11] BitMEX_Arthur : Hopefully the PIGS can re-discover their backbone and tell the germans to go f themselves
[2016-06-24 01:11:41] aethlios : dollar index up !% and gold up 2%, pound -6.7% devaluation to gold
[2016-06-24 01:12:21] Rune : so brexit does affect bitcoins price
[2016-06-24 01:12:27] Rune : I think it is obvious now
[2016-06-24 01:12:55] BitMEX_Arthur : Senior labour figure tells me 'this has gone, Leave to win' - Don't jump up and down with joy or in despair, it's early and it's one source
[2016-06-24 01:12:58] aethlios : all fiat devalue against gold, btc up against all fiat. gold btc wins
[2016-06-24 01:13:56] boolander : economic realism rising up
[2016-06-24 01:14:36] REKT : Liquidated long on `ETHXBT`: Sell 5 @ 0.02134
[2016-06-24 01:15:06] aethlios : S&P futures -2.1%
[2016-06-24 01:15:16] aethlios : VIX futures up 16%
[2016-06-24 01:16:31] Yumi : Arthur, will we get new monthly tomorow?
[2016-06-24 01:16:44] BitMEX_Arthur : Yumi: No we will not, XBTU16 will remain
[2016-06-24 01:16:57] BitMEX_Arthur : Our thinking right now is to move all quantos to the XBJ series
[2016-06-24 01:17:22] BitMEX_Arthur : and we are working on allowing you to view the order book and enter orders in USD terms at a fixed USDJPY rate
[2016-06-24 01:17:34] Yumi : it seems like a good idea
[2016-06-24 01:17:55] rapidtrades : BOOKING ODDS NOW COMPLETELY SWITCHED
[2016-06-24 01:17:59] BitMEX_Arthur : lol
[2016-06-24 01:18:01] lockhedge : Camden only 65.6% turnout
[2016-06-24 01:18:05] BitMEX_Arthur : man some bookies got recked
[2016-06-24 01:18:15] BitMEX_Arthur : lockhedge: that positive for leave?
[2016-06-24 01:18:32] lockhedge : yes
[2016-06-24 01:18:54] luckynuke : hm sounds good for bitcoin i think
[2016-06-24 01:19:07] BitMEX_Arthur : ain't over yet
[2016-06-24 01:20:15] BitMEX_Arthur : "Turnout in Scotland has been considerably lower than expected. The SNP, the dominant party which ran huge campaigns for the independence referendum, UK election and Scottish elections, has run a lacklustre campaign with minimal ground activity. Sturgeon had more to say about criticising the Remain camp than making the positive case for Europe and she was nowhere to be seen until the dying days of the campaign."
[2016-06-24 01:21:03] luckynuke : 4200cny
[2016-06-24 01:22:21] boolander : chinese version of rocking the vote via the bitcorn
[2016-06-24 01:22:56] lockhedge : Kensington & Chelsea only 66% turnout
[2016-06-24 01:24:08] BitMEX_Arthur : not so fast look at GBP
[2016-06-24 01:24:54] Rune : lag or just me?
[2016-06-24 01:25:03] boolander : central banks all hands on deck
[2016-06-24 01:25:21] luckynuke : Rune: not bitmex
[2016-06-24 01:29:00] rapidtrades : GOT STOPPED AT BREAKEVEN
[2016-06-24 01:29:32] rapidtrades : had 400p open profits...decided to ride it...dumb mistake
[2016-06-24 01:30:16] rapidtrades : remain slught fav now
[2016-06-24 01:33:29] rapidtrades : london saving remain for now
[2016-06-24 01:35:26] Rune : This is the first good day I have had on XBTUSD ever
[2016-06-24 01:36:28] rapidtrades : :)
[2016-06-24 01:36:46] joequant : heh. heh. heh XBT is tracking the news reports.
[2016-06-24 01:36:59] jung1 : Rune: you gonna loose that profit in next days
[2016-06-24 01:37:14] Adura_ : Tighten your profit!
[2016-06-24 01:37:33] Rune : jung1: :(
[2016-06-24 01:38:00] jung1 : withdraw at least 50% of profits and start again
[2016-06-24 01:38:10] joequant : I remember that the rumour is that the Rothschilds made a killing when they learned that Napoleon had lost Waterloo. Anyone that knows the results 10 seconds before anyone else could make a lot of money today.
[2016-06-24 01:38:11] jung1 : at least you will buy some good whiskey
[2016-06-24 01:39:21] jung1 : even LTC have 1000btc< volume on polo
[2016-06-24 01:40:58] rapidtrades : remain now 51%
[2016-06-24 01:42:04] mbaril : can someone explain quick what is the effect of brexit on the price of bitcoin ?
[2016-06-24 01:42:16] jung1 : it will go up
[2016-06-24 01:42:18] jung1 : or down
[2016-06-24 01:42:24] Rune : fiat is dropping due to it
[2016-06-24 01:42:26] nip : breferendum make the bitcorn more scarce
[2016-06-24 01:42:29] Rune : so bitcoin goes up
[2016-06-24 01:42:35] nip : more rare makes bitcoin go up
[2016-06-24 01:42:53] rapidtrades : i think it wont have any long-term impact but thats' just me
[2016-06-24 01:42:55] luckynuke : btc 4200 resistance
[2016-06-24 01:44:04] rapidtrades : betting back in favor of remain
[2016-06-24 01:44:20] jung1 : I think that real pump will be after halving
[2016-06-24 01:44:40] jung1 : if everything will be good then huge inverstors join to our adventure
[2016-06-24 01:48:43] ayy_lmao : is this bitmex's most volume today
[2016-06-24 01:50:22] lockhedge : 5 best turnouts in London Richmond-upon-Thames 82.1% 108888 Sutton 76% 106630 Havering 76% 139176 Bexley 75.3% 128571 Merton 73.5% 100207
[2016-06-24 01:50:26] luckynuke : good night folks :)
[2016-06-24 01:50:57] lockhedge : worst 5 turnouts in London Waltham Forest 54.9% 89528 Newham 59.3% 104861 Lewisham 63.1% 124622 Barking & Dagenham 63.9% 73941 Tower Hamlets 64.6% 108403
[2016-06-24 01:51:31] Skitrx : leave is catching up
[2016-06-24 01:52:35] zanza : SXP went from 2128 to 2058
[2016-06-24 01:52:38] zanza : thats insane
[2016-06-24 01:52:50] zanza : i should of setup sells
[2016-06-24 01:56:13] zanza : basically MM's are taking advantage of uncertainties to cleanup stops and stuff
[2016-06-24 01:59:13] zanza : LInsday Lohan thinks they should #REMAIN
[2016-06-24 02:02:11] tscha : lockhedge: are you going to stay up?
[2016-06-24 02:02:40] clipperhawk : zanza: Well the boss has spoken
[2016-06-24 02:03:29] Rado : Rapidtrades: what site do you use for FX trading?
[2016-06-24 02:05:27] lockhedge : tscha: i think i'll get 4h sleep in the afternoon, maybe 2 in the morning
[2016-06-24 02:07:29] ayy_lmao : lol
[2016-06-24 02:09:45] BitMEX_Arthur : leave takes the lead again on guardian
[2016-06-24 02:09:50] clipperhawk : Rado: FXCM
[2016-06-24 02:11:07] zanza : holy sh*t is this really happening?
[2016-06-24 02:12:14] aethlios : it's scotland heavily IN, england is more out
[2016-06-24 02:12:43] jung1 : http://www.theguardian.com/politics/ng-interactive/2016/jun/23/eu-referendum-live-results-and-analysis
[2016-06-24 02:12:46] jung1 : 54% leave
[2016-06-24 02:12:56] zanza : england is bigger voting base tho right ?
[2016-06-24 02:13:25] zanza : tempted to take small profit on my SPX short
[2016-06-24 02:13:34] jung1 : and they vote with FUCKING PENCILS
[2016-06-24 02:13:47] tscha : brexit seems to be real
[2016-06-24 02:13:49] aethlios : zanza: I am not english but yes, also whales is more OUT. it's all the UK that votes.
[2016-06-24 02:14:15] zanza : this is a shocker its so close
[2016-06-24 02:14:21] zanza : they made it sound like a done deal STAY
[2016-06-24 02:14:23] zanza : all week
[2016-06-24 02:14:40] Rune : almost 51% leave
[2016-06-24 02:14:44] aethlios : most scotland's results have been counted, so I guess leave will catch up now.
[2016-06-24 02:14:47] zanza : bitcoin seems to be rally on the volatility
[2016-06-24 02:15:46] jung1 : but c'mon why they use pencils to vote? anyone can clear that and put vote whehe he want
[2016-06-24 02:16:15] BitMEX_Wally : jung1: Cheap pencils are provided for those who didn't bring their own pen
[2016-06-24 02:16:17] jung1 : stalin said that no matter who vote but who count
[2016-06-24 02:16:51] BitMEX_Wally : Anyone can clear a pencil mark but they'd have to do it under the eyes of election monitors from statutory bodies and observers from the main political parties
[2016-06-24 02:17:38] jung1 : https://gfycat.com/OrangeMajorFairyfly like that?
[2016-06-24 02:18:38] tscha : here in Austria, possibility is quite high that the presidential elections held in May are going to be re-run
[2016-06-24 02:18:43] aethlios : forecast model: 53% Leave sky news
[2016-06-24 02:20:17] wurstgelee : tfw u pass out in your chair in a 25x long 4h ago
[2016-06-24 02:20:20] wurstgelee : oO
[2016-06-24 02:20:27] jung1 : http://www.theguardian.com/politics/ng-interactive/2016/jun/23/eu-referendum-live-results-and-analysis here you have live results with interactive map
[2016-06-24 02:20:49] wurstgelee : oh no, 50x, even better
[2016-06-24 02:20:51] wurstgelee : wtf
[2016-06-24 02:21:32] jung1 : this is how gpb will looks like today http://imgur.com/4NKXJMY
[2016-06-24 02:21:37] wurstgelee : jung1: 51% now
[2016-06-24 02:21:45] mbaril : http://www.bbc.com/news/politics/eu_referendum/results
[2016-06-24 02:21:50] mbaril : take this gardian is late
[2016-06-24 02:21:54] mbaril : bbc have a more up to date
[2016-06-24 02:22:06] mbaril : and its now 50.7 leave
[2016-06-24 02:22:22] wurstgelee : mbaril: link?
[2016-06-24 02:22:31] mbaril : http://www.bbc.com/news/politics/eu_referendum/results
[2016-06-24 02:22:39] wurstgelee : thanks
[2016-06-24 02:23:44] jung1 : so if there will be brexit whats your bets about next country that will leave eu?
[2016-06-24 02:23:56] boolander : #fraxit
[2016-06-24 02:24:12] wurstgelee : 51.5 @ bbc now.
[2016-06-24 02:24:19] mbaril : jung1: #frexit
[2016-06-24 02:24:19] wurstgelee : for leave that is
[2016-06-24 02:24:30] wurstgelee : might actually really happen
[2016-06-24 02:24:35] lockhedge : tscha: did you see this analysis on bp16 http://www.wahlanalyse.com hope that the judges know some statistics basics
[2016-06-24 02:25:06] jung1 : nah france basicly owns eu with germany
[2016-06-24 02:25:22] jung1 : imo grece will try once again
[2016-06-24 02:25:45] mbaril : jung1: yeah so they need to paid for all others that fail
[2016-06-24 02:25:49] mbaril : it was uk france and germany
[2016-06-24 02:25:56] mbaril : now will be only france and germany
[2016-06-24 02:26:37] jung1 : intersting times
[2016-06-24 02:26:47] jung1 : now china gonna invest a lot in central europe
[2016-06-24 02:27:08] jung1 : already made deal with polish gov about new silk road
[2016-06-24 02:27:22] jung1 : that connect poland and china
[2016-06-24 02:27:23] tscha : lockhedge: that is not what the judge will base his verdict on. I guess it's obvious that there was no manipulation, but that's not the point
[2016-06-24 02:28:00] tscha : the question is if there was manipulation possible
[2016-06-24 02:28:33] BitMEX_Arthur : cable through 1.40
[2016-06-24 02:30:07] wurstgelee : mh. i shoukd go to bed. have to get up in 2.5 h
[2016-06-24 02:30:14] wurstgelee : but then again, i already passed out 4h
[2016-06-24 02:30:18] wurstgelee : oO
[2016-06-24 02:32:18] lockhedge : tscha: that's currently being debated, how this can be interpreted. greens argue that there should be a plausibility check which includes mathematical (not only technical) plausibility
[2016-06-24 02:32:54] tscha : lockhedge: really? source?
[2016-06-24 02:33:49] boolander : wonder if we get a "bank holiday"
[2016-06-24 02:34:27] tscha : verdicts were never based on that in the past, and they should not IMHO
[2016-06-24 02:37:08] lockhedge : tscha: Plausibilitätsprüfung http://kurier.at/politik/inland/bp-wahl-gruene-sehen-mehrheit-fuer-van-der-bellen-ausser-zweifel/204.863.012
[2016-06-24 02:39:57] wurstgelee : 51.6% ...
[2016-06-24 02:40:09] wurstgelee : its really happening it seems
[2016-06-24 02:40:16] wurstgelee : 51.6 #brexit
[2016-06-24 02:40:32] zanza : holy fk
[2016-06-24 02:40:37] tscha : that's stupid, the people need to know that an election is 100% correct, not 99.72% (or some other arbitrary number)
[2016-06-24 02:40:39] wurstgelee : almost 500k votes in the lead
[2016-06-24 02:40:40] mbaril : Its a nice thing
[2016-06-24 02:40:42] BitMEX_Arthur : yeah with 50% reporting so far
[2016-06-24 02:40:49] tscha : (@lockhedge)
[2016-06-24 02:40:58] wurstgelee : BitMEX_Arthur: thats a decent value ...50%
[2016-06-24 02:40:58] BitMEX_Arthur : so still could reverse
[2016-06-24 02:41:02] wurstgelee : unlikely
[2016-06-24 02:41:12] wurstgelee : statistically unlikely
[2016-06-24 02:41:14] wurstgelee : ;)
[2016-06-24 02:41:17] BitMEX_Arthur : haha
[2016-06-24 02:41:35] wurstgelee : 50% of counted votes usually determines winner
[2016-06-24 02:41:42] wurstgelee : especially with > 51%
[2016-06-24 02:42:25] wurstgelee : i cant prove that number but i recall some documentary when we last has an election here
[2016-06-24 02:42:32] wurstgelee : *had
[2016-06-24 02:43:04] wurstgelee : also its 51.7 now
[2016-06-24 02:44:01] Rune : leave will win this gap is getting bigger and bigger
[2016-06-24 02:44:15] boolander : g'night cable...
[2016-06-24 02:44:17] aethlios : coinbase 690
[2016-06-24 02:44:21] boolander : ho lee fook
[2016-06-24 02:45:15] aethlios : Long live the dollar, gold, silver and BTC
[2016-06-24 02:45:59] lockhedge : tscha: they should repeat the elections if the possible deviation is higher than margin/2
[2016-06-24 02:46:49] wurstgelee : $1.38
[2016-06-24 02:46:52] wurstgelee : holy fuck
[2016-06-24 02:47:28] tscha : lockhedge: by margin you mean lead?
[2016-06-24 02:47:55] wurstgelee : oh, $1.36
[2016-06-24 02:47:57] wurstgelee : nvm
[2016-06-24 02:48:27] aethlios : s&p500 futures -3.15%, stocks crash today, black friday
[2016-06-24 02:48:40] tscha : it's obvious how it should be handled - if the result can change mathematically, they have to nullify the election
[2016-06-24 02:49:50] zanza : RIP Cablwe
[2016-06-24 02:49:54] zanza : Cable
[2016-06-24 02:51:27] wurstgelee : in b4 GBPEUR parity
[2016-06-24 02:51:28] clipperhawk : zanza: Cablwe sounds better lol
[2016-06-24 02:51:31] wurstgelee : :D
[2016-06-24 02:51:58] wurstgelee : ok, ill try to catch another 2h of sleep, bbl
[2016-06-24 02:52:01] lockhedge : tscha: yes 30863 votes, so they have to prove that a deviation of 15432 was possible based on legal and scientific facts
[2016-06-24 02:52:48] tscha : yes
[2016-06-24 02:54:26] tscha : Arthur right now: http://i.imgur.com/7drHiqr.gif
[2016-06-24 02:54:38] rapidtrades : this is mayhem
[2016-06-24 02:54:40] rapidtrades : mayhem
[2016-06-24 02:54:45] BitMEX_Arthur : tscha: Let's hope but there is still a lot of votes yet to be counted
[2016-06-24 02:54:58] rapidtrades : gone
[2016-06-24 02:55:06] rapidtrades : http://www.oddschecker.com/politics/british-politics/eu-referendum/referendum-on-eu-membership-result
[2016-06-24 02:55:13] rapidtrades : what do the odds say
[2016-06-24 02:55:23] rapidtrades : quick
[2016-06-24 02:55:27] rapidtrades : in
[2016-06-24 02:55:39] wurstgelee : BitMEX_Arthur: most votes missing are from england tho - and englang has a majority of brexit votes
[2016-06-24 02:55:40] tscha : lockhedge: imagine brexit, our election re-done with Hofer as president and then Trump president of the US
[2016-06-24 02:55:47] rapidtrades : %%
[2016-06-24 02:55:51] wurstgelee : scotland is almost done
[2016-06-24 02:55:57] wurstgelee : with remain percentage
[2016-06-24 02:56:21] wurstgelee : check the map, http://www.bbc.com/news/politics/eu_referendum/results
[2016-06-24 02:56:30] zanza : Yuan craashing
[2016-06-24 02:56:40] rapidtrades : GIIVE ME % PLS
[2016-06-24 02:57:14] wurstgelee : rapidtrades: 51.3 pro brexit
[2016-06-24 02:57:15] wurstgelee : atm
[2016-06-24 02:57:26] wurstgelee : total
[2016-06-24 02:57:44] wurstgelee : ~500k votes ahead
[2016-06-24 02:57:51] rapidtrades : betting odds plz
[2016-06-24 02:57:53] rapidtrades : i know that
[2016-06-24 02:58:00] rapidtrades : wtaching bbc
[2016-06-24 02:58:16] rapidtrades : i can't read those odds
[2016-06-24 02:58:29] rapidtrades : http://www.oddschecker.com/politics/british-politics/eu-referendum/referendum-on-eu-membership-result
[2016-06-24 02:58:32] BitMEX_Arthur : do does deutsche bank open at 0EUR on monday if brexit happens?
[2016-06-24 02:58:47] wurstgelee : haha
[2016-06-24 02:58:54] zanza : :)
[2016-06-24 02:58:56] aethlios : bitfair leave 1.1, stay 10
[2016-06-24 02:58:56] BitMEX_Arthur : i used to work there
[2016-06-24 02:59:09] BitMEX_Arthur : there are a few ex-colleagues i don't like there
[2016-06-24 02:59:12] wurstgelee : rapidtrades: odds CLEARLY pro leave
[2016-06-24 02:59:23] zanza : maybe they will get fired after this Arthur :)
[2016-06-24 02:59:24] rapidtrades : holy shit we won
[2016-06-24 02:59:38] wurstgelee : 1.1 and 10 are serious numbers
[2016-06-24 02:59:45] wurstgelee : for odds
[2016-06-24 02:59:56] rapidtrades : def
[2016-06-24 02:59:57] wurstgelee : it's settled imo
[2016-06-24 03:00:14] rapidtrades : my pound TP is 1.31 wish me luck
[2016-06-24 03:00:16] wurstgelee : time to get those 2h of sleep and see the twitter world burn in the morning
[2016-06-24 03:00:17] wurstgelee : :)
[2016-06-24 03:00:56] lockhedge : tscha: if i had to choose between Hofer, Brexit and Trump, i might choose Hofer (the smallest problem) ;)
[2016-06-24 03:01:18] Yumi : rapidtrades: TP 1.01
[2016-06-24 03:01:33] BitMEX_Arthur : lol
[2016-06-24 03:01:43] BitMEX_Arthur : Yumi: really parity on GBPUSD?
[2016-06-24 03:01:46] BitMEX_Arthur : that's bold
[2016-06-24 03:01:53] Yumi : I dont do forex
[2016-06-24 03:01:55] tscha : Coinbase trades 20€ over Kraken
[2016-06-24 03:02:00] tscha : above*
[2016-06-24 03:02:02] rapidtrades : wooo farage on TV
[2016-06-24 03:02:53] zanza : i wonder if this will trigger a US market circuit breaker
[2016-06-24 03:02:58] zanza : at open
[2016-06-24 03:03:37] Yumi : half of US market are dip buyers
[2016-06-24 03:04:13] BitMEX_Arthur : 6.63 USDCNH
[2016-06-24 03:04:32] REKT : Liquidated long on `XBJ24H`: Sell 750 @ 67463.0
[2016-06-24 03:04:38] BitMEX_Arthur : China going to love this
[2016-06-24 03:04:56] Yumi : yea definitely
[2016-06-24 03:04:58] BitMEX_Wally : GBP/USD 1.3492 down 9.32%
[2016-06-24 03:05:07] tscha : Bitcoin Moon Starts
[2016-06-24 03:05:14] lockhedge : Farage declaring victory, less drunk than normally
[2016-06-24 03:05:22] wurstgelee : lockhedge: hahaha
[2016-06-24 03:05:23] rapidtrades : my stupid broker stopped me out of my long USD/CNH right before this trade...never traded that low
[2016-06-24 03:05:54] lockhedge : i once had a beer with Farage in Brussels (he had three)
[2016-06-24 03:06:07] wurstgelee : meanwhile btc moving up nicely
[2016-06-24 03:06:09] wurstgelee : noone cares
[2016-06-24 03:06:12] wurstgelee : ;)
[2016-06-24 03:06:38] Yumi : if you are in UK and holding btc you double win
[2016-06-24 03:06:50] wurstgelee : no uk, only btc
[2016-06-24 03:07:00] wurstgelee : i consider that as a double win tho
[2016-06-24 03:07:03] wurstgelee : :p
[2016-06-24 03:07:10] BitMEX_Wally : lockhedge: Was he drinking one of those strong Belgian lagers so favoured by his electorate?
[2016-06-24 03:08:47] lockhedge : BitMEX_Wally: :) no it was an Irish pub, Declan Ganley payed the bill
[2016-06-24 03:10:00] mikeh : i bet we'll be up $100 by the time my btc moves
[2016-06-24 03:10:03] jung1 : damn they gonna leave
[2016-06-24 03:10:32] jung1 : Im going to put buy orders at 6620
[2016-06-24 03:10:35] zanza : I picture a Mel Gibson Braveheart photo
[2016-06-24 03:10:35] jung1 : 620
[2016-06-24 03:10:44] zanza : of voters voting to leave
[2016-06-24 03:12:06] mikeh : i can't imagine them not rigging the vote tho, it happens too often
[2016-06-24 03:14:41] rapidtrades : i have no clue where to take profit now lol
[2016-06-24 03:14:51] rapidtrades : 1/2 got topped at 1.366
[2016-06-24 03:15:08] rapidtrades : stopped
[2016-06-24 03:17:39] rapidtrades : lol remain cap on TV cant face it yet
[2016-06-24 03:18:07] zanza : ok im going long silver
[2016-06-24 03:20:44] jung1 : when you close your longs?
[2016-06-24 03:21:21] jung1 : or its short time
[2016-06-24 03:22:05] Rune : im not closing till leave wins and there is a victory spike
[2016-06-24 03:24:54] lockhedge : Bexley and Sutton with both one of the highest turnouts of London voted for Leave
[2016-06-24 03:30:16] boolander : "Chris Hanretty of University of East Anglia who has done analysis of votes on district level, has now said he sees a 0% chance of Remain."
[2016-06-24 03:30:31] rapidtrades : nice
[2016-06-24 03:30:36] jung1 : 48-52 for leave
[2016-06-24 03:30:41] zanza : already up big on my silver long
[2016-06-24 03:30:45] tscha : boolander: that was 2 hours ago
[2016-06-24 03:30:46] rapidtrades : also waiting for victory spike on cable
[2016-06-24 03:31:04] rapidtrades : or 1.31....whaterver comes furst
[2016-06-24 03:31:06] REKT : Liquidated long on `FCTXBT`: Sell 302 @ 0.001512
[2016-06-24 03:31:28] zanza : yall think this could turn around ?
[2016-06-24 03:31:30] boolander : i trade in the past. 20/20 hindsight wins errytime. ;-)
[2016-06-24 03:32:01] rapidtrades : i think in bitcoin its very likely to turn around
[2016-06-24 03:32:10] rapidtrades : cause brexit means nothing for BTC
[2016-06-24 03:32:32] rapidtrades : with that said, im keeping my small long
[2016-06-24 03:35:41] 1QaZxSw2 : well, mine is big and long
[2016-06-24 03:35:55] rapidtrades : lol BBC: but there is a still long way to go''
[2016-06-24 03:36:06] rapidtrades : state TV keeping the hope alive hahahhahahahahahahahahah
[2016-06-24 03:36:16] zanza : leave just took a big lead
[2016-06-24 03:36:27] 1QaZxSw2 : london wants to stay and has the population
[2016-06-24 03:36:28] zanza : bitcoin doesn't know wtf it is doing :)
[2016-06-24 03:36:54] Rune : it went up so much ppl taking profits
[2016-06-24 03:36:56] lockhedge : Enfield 55.82% 44.18% Remain (below London average)
[2016-06-24 03:36:56] tscha : gibraltar is fukked now I guess :)
[2016-06-24 03:36:57] zanza : u think this is a fakeout 1QaZxSw2?
[2016-06-24 03:37:18] Rune : I think it will go up more when the results are final
[2016-06-24 03:37:31] rapidtrades : this is surreal
[2016-06-24 03:37:40] rapidtrades : literlly the making of history
[2016-06-24 03:38:07] jung1 : ok its officiall
[2016-06-24 03:38:15] jung1 : brexit will happen
[2016-06-24 03:38:35] rapidtrades : says who
[2016-06-24 03:38:50] rapidtrades : Just over 4.7m now needed to confirm Brexit
[2016-06-24 03:38:52] cekseh : http://www.bbc.com/news/politics/eu_referendum/results
[2016-06-24 03:38:53] Yumi : says @jung1 and he knows stuff
[2016-06-24 03:38:59] cekseh : http://www.theguardian.com/politics/ng-interactive/2016/jun/23/eu-referendum-live-results-and-analysis