This is a mirror of the original BitMEX trollbox archive that used to be online here. BitMEX disabled their archive after the DDOS attack so I have decided to make my mirror publicly available.
Well now, a few days after I made this mirror available to the public, the original archive from BitMEX is online again. But since it is still limited (neutered to the last few hundred messages) I will keep my FULL mirror alive.
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<< >> English 中文 Русский 한국어 日本語 Español Français [2017-01-28 00:12:47] sleger : dodic: ok so 1.7% (im not checking your number) is what ? 16$, and you long march until expi to capture what ? 9$ ? how do you make money ? [2017-01-28 00:14:21] Ugly_Old_Goat : I have been long both and collecting funding on perp. The backwardization is also helping to correct thew spread. Perpdays are minimal now but stiill positive. [2017-01-28 00:15:51] Ugly_Old_Goat : The carrying charge normally goes to shorts. When it gets back to normal I will be selling any non spec perp longs [2017-01-28 00:18:48] dodic : sleger: yeah, that's what i realized, it doesn't really work unless the discount is massive or you could reinvest the USD proceeds from the short for interest. which afaik you can't do on any exchange, and i wonder if part of the reason why exchange interest rates are high [2017-01-28 00:18:52] Ugly_Old_Goat : You can probably safely buy march and sell perp here. But when funding was huge in favor of longs the only place to sell was another exchage. [2017-01-28 00:19:20] sleger : dodic: you're welcome for making me force you to do a+b [2017-01-28 00:19:20] Ugly_Old_Goat : I will be very surprised if we get back to 20-30 discount [2017-01-28 00:19:39] dodic : Ugly_Old_Goat: The average is about 0.04 shorts pay I think [2017-01-28 00:19:50] sleger : Ugly_Old_Goat: im on the same trade as you, im short 600k of swap and long march even more [2017-01-28 00:21:33] micmix : my bot is short swap and long futures as well, but that doesn't mean I don't believe in backwardation :smile: [2017-01-28 00:23:00] lockhedge : my mm bot is long swap, and i sold spot today [2017-01-28 00:25:43] micmix : will see what happens at funding time, usually people overreact to avoid funding and bots take advantage [2017-01-28 00:28:36] sleger : ahah I just checked I paid about 12btc of funding on swap since jan 22 when it turned negative [2017-01-28 00:28:53] Sultan Pepper : Tschüss 1m charts... [2017-01-28 00:30:03] BitMEX_Greg : sleger: are you going to keep telling the trollbox about it for the next 2 years? : p [2017-01-28 00:30:36] sleger : BitMEX_Greg: it's the first time cut me some slack :) [2017-01-28 00:30:50] sleger : And i'm not complaining, rules didnt change... [2017-01-28 00:31:12] BitMEX_Greg : haha [2017-01-28 00:31:51] micmix : and you probably made 120btc collecting funding before that ;-) @sleger [2017-01-28 00:32:58] sleger : micmix: not really, funding hasnt been great so far, because it was high but capped for a short time on the way up, and average-high for a long time on the way down [2017-01-28 00:34:12] lockhedge : sleger: is the idea behind this position to be long volatility? [2017-01-28 00:34:22] sleger : no [2017-01-28 00:34:27] micmix : yeah, 0.375% cap is too low, it doesn't keep swap in check [2017-01-28 00:37:23] Ugly_Old_Goat : Look Idid not get it at first and paid way too much here for a time on the way up. But this exchange is a super tool for hedging. One thing I have learned. I do not hold a perp (what you call swap) and leave the market for a few days. But I am long March at a discount with no worry except direction. [2017-01-28 00:39:40] Ugly_Old_Goat : Direction can be hedged elswhere, but probably very safe now with perp here since funding is virtually non-existent and probably start rewardings shorts again soon. [2017-01-28 00:39:48] sleger : "except direction" yeah well thats the whole point !!! [2017-01-28 00:39:59] Ugly_Old_Goat : I don't trade with bots [2017-01-28 00:42:00] sleger : i dont trade with goats [2017-01-28 00:42:18] Ugly_Old_Goat : sleger: Well, that is way I sold out over 1000 and bot back in under 800. Mostly like there is not major move for a while and we simply consolodate between Jan highs and lows. The only play now is the spread is is not much but good safe bet it there is such athing [2017-01-28 00:43:09] Ugly_Old_Goat : sleger: If you trade here you do. You trade with an Ugly Old one with chronic diarherra [2017-01-28 00:44:23] Ugly_Old_Goat : sleger: You need to take your hand off my thigh [2017-01-28 00:44:24] lockhedge : micmix: do you know if there are still open margin positions on Chinese spot exchanges? iirc you said it can take up to 14 days to close them [2017-01-28 00:45:41] micmix : yes, some margin positions are still open. your margin loan expires as usual but you cannot borrow anymore @lockhedge [2017-01-28 00:46:39] micmix : last day to borrow on okc was 21 or 22 when they still had 1x leverage available [2017-01-28 00:46:57] Ugly_Old_Goat : @micmix Wow. ok now that explains the backwardization get so deep and lasting so long [2017-01-28 00:47:01] lockhedge : micmix: do you have any idea how big the outstanding amount could be? [2017-01-28 00:47:18] micmix : that's why I'm de-risked for another week at least [2017-01-28 00:48:49] micmix : lockhedge: I don't think there is any data but cny margin market was huge, you could take 100k cny loans several times per day with no issues [2017-01-28 00:48:56] Ugly_Old_Goat : micmix: Looks to me like no fee trading really has hidden fees taken in the form of liqudity. No such thing as free [2017-01-28 00:50:24] micmix : lockhedge: and I think huobi loans were up to 30 days, huge market as well [2017-01-28 00:52:26] Ugly_Old_Goat : So basically OK and huobi created a mess for their clients and the rest of the world benefited. Don't blame Bitmex for the bacxkwardization. It was simply the market response to a mess started elsewhere [2017-01-28 00:53:53] Ugly_Old_Goat : The first shoe was the unexpected upward valuation of the yuan, followed by a visit by the police that said no more. Run an exchange, not a gambling halll [2017-01-28 00:54:46] Ugly_Old_Goat : I figured everything before it happen but now I understand why. Thanks @sleger [2017-01-28 00:57:46] Ugly_Old_Goat : Expect slow markets and return to normal as speculators on Chinese exchanges lick their wounds. Again Bitmex is best becase it is not free, it rewards market makers, it provide extreme leverage if you want it. and it socializes losses when things get out of hand [2017-01-28 00:58:25] Ugly_Old_Goat : This place is for speculators and hedgers, no investors [2017-01-28 01:01:26] Ugly_Old_Goat : micmix: Rather thank you. You opened my eyes to what happened. Did not really fully understand the cause until you clued me in to no fee leveraged trading with faked liquidity [2017-01-28 01:02:07] Ugly_Old_Goat : Another thing ab out this place is you get deposit with one confirm which is essential in crazy markets [2017-01-28 01:05:47] Ugly_Old_Goat : I am still waiting for an example of a long lasting backward market.. . . [2017-01-28 01:11:18] lockhedge : Ugly_Old_Goat: "I am still waiting for an example" CNYUSD futures (=inverse USDCNY) http://www.cmegroup.com/trading/fx/emerging-market/chinese-renminbi.html [2017-01-28 01:13:48] lockhedge : so in theory you are wrong, but you might be right being bullish on bitcoin [2017-01-28 01:22:15] Ugly_Old_Goat : lockhedge: Your mixing apple with oranges. Yes, backwardization can happen and remain on a currency, especially a weak one. Think Zimbabwi. That is wrong. Currencies are fiat. Created and contolled by governmments. Incidentally the same thing happens here on shitcoins because they are created. I see the problem here is you really do not understand btc and why it is the blockchain and why there are not others. Btc started at zero. It had no ICO. It was built slowly for years on proof of work. btc is really a commodity much like sliver or gold. Not like corn or soybeans which depends on production. [2017-01-28 01:23:18] laisee : its backwardation, not backwardization. commods gammar nazi at ur service. [2017-01-28 01:24:16] Ugly_Old_Goat : laisee: And I suppose your fearts don't stink [2017-01-28 01:24:38] laisee : its farts, not fearts. thank you for your attention. ;-) [2017-01-28 01:24:44] Ugly_Old_Goat : Excuse me, I think farts is the correct spelling [2017-01-28 01:24:56] Ugly_Old_Goat : You beat me to it [2017-01-28 01:25:04] laisee : snap! [2017-01-28 01:26:29] abbey : meanwhile btc goes up [2017-01-28 01:27:00] laisee : interesting topic ... does Bitcoin have convenience yield or carrying costs somehow? can bitcoin exchanges be analyzed like gas or oil supply chain network? [2017-01-28 01:28:40] Ugly_Old_Goat : I think so to a degree [2017-01-28 01:30:13] Ugly_Old_Goat : But the measure comes from analyzing the true users. The true users are those with no other option. Chris DeRose and Tone Vays are a good place to start [2017-01-28 01:31:58] Ugly_Old_Goat : True users are things like back page, MJ, and illegal drugs and those that need to avoid currency controls [2017-01-28 01:35:44] Ugly_Old_Goat : But there is a true carrying charge depending on the currency it is priced it [2017-01-28 01:36:58] Ugly_Old_Goat : Bitcoin use can only become widespread with the adoption of sound commercial banking which has been forgotten for 100 years and needs to be relearnd. [2017-01-28 01:38:44] Ugly_Old_Goat : It is coming but slowly and unseen at first. Legal MJ growers in US need btc banking so it will likely develop their first since use a bank risks gets funds seized since legal in states but illegal in fed banks [2017-01-28 01:39:10] Ugly_Old_Goat : Any thanks for all the information today. Good night [2017-01-28 01:40:23] laisee : nite [2017-01-28 01:40:24] yungyang : You the GOAT fam [2017-01-28 01:40:43] yungyang : gnight ? [2017-01-28 01:44:30] laisee : ought to be pssible to chart BTC supply chain from miners to exchanges to users to vendors & onwards. [2017-01-28 01:51:29] -_- : someone wants in xmr [2017-01-28 01:51:48] -_- : still not sure next big 10%+ move or just a random buyer getting in [2017-01-28 01:52:36] -_- : no bots insta selling 80btc worth of xmr [2017-01-28 01:56:30] -_- : damn [2017-01-28 01:56:31] -_- : any xmr news [2017-01-28 01:57:58] -_- : fake out down then pump [2017-01-28 01:59:15] -_- : someone putting hundreds of btc into xmr right meow [2017-01-28 02:01:18] pigeons : shhhhhhh [2017-01-28 02:01:39] -_- : wtf [2017-01-28 02:01:43] -_- : i guess i should have fomo long [2017-01-28 02:03:42] -_- : i like when pumper takes down pump wall. then i wonder if they are going to put it higher [2017-01-28 02:03:45] -_- : and yes they did [2017-01-28 02:04:15] -_- : china add xmr? [2017-01-28 02:12:12] -_- : ah i know. bitfinex stolen coins going into xmr [2017-01-28 02:23:16] -_- : all i know is about 1000 btc was just used to buy and put up buy walls [2017-01-28 02:23:32] -_- : choochoo anon coin of the future [2017-01-28 02:29:44] Ugly_Old_Goat : -_-: For what its worth I think it iegit and just bot 100 1480-81 and that is me at 14187. We should take ofut the 18748 spike [2017-01-28 02:30:24] -_- : yeah btc is boring and big alt needs to go boom [2017-01-28 02:30:48] -_- : xmr 13% so far is good [2017-01-28 02:30:57] Ugly_Old_Goat : Monero and litecoin are only other legit alts [2017-01-28 02:31:00] -_- : sucks i didnt long it right after settlement [2017-01-28 02:31:13] Ugly_Old_Goat : Maybe counterparty, but can't trade here [2017-01-28 02:32:37] Ugly_Old_Goat : Its a good bet, no reason to jump in until a real breakout. Again just a chuckle for laffs trade. But I have done very well in Monero but never traded it here [2017-01-28 02:35:03] Ugly_Old_Goat : BTY I really like XCP here and committed 5% of my btc to it at these levels [2017-01-28 02:37:23] -_- : i've also seen xmr dump a ton for no reason too [2017-01-28 02:46:43] ronensinger : Any programmers here? [2017-01-28 02:50:07] Sultan Pepper : I can program the shet out of a TI-83 [2017-01-28 02:50:31] Sultan Pepper : Basic, yo [2017-01-28 03:11:51] MikeHunt : ronensinger: y u ask? [2017-01-28 03:15:34] REKT : Liquidated long on `XMR7D`: sell 500 @ 0.013769 [2017-01-28 03:15:44] enki0182 : MikeHunt: he wants you to build him a bot based on his trading strategem. [2017-01-28 03:15:57] enki0182 : me too plz mike :P [2017-01-28 03:16:02] enki0182 : :) [2017-01-28 03:16:06] enki0182 : : ) [2017-01-28 03:17:45] FreeBitcoins : bot that re-enters positions after ADL would be perfect [2017-01-28 03:19:05] enki0182 : FreeBitcoins: yerp.... it would be a busy bot tho : :P [2017-01-28 03:20:11] enki0182 : but you have to give cred to the ability to 100x on mex. im happy to see mex climbing charts as an mercentile exchange.... its a good platform [2017-01-28 03:20:27] enki0182 : never 100x'd myself though (intentionally rofl) [2017-01-28 03:23:02] ronensinger : Im a programmer myself [2017-01-28 03:23:09] ronensinger : I can program anything for you guys for a price [2017-01-28 03:23:23] ronensinger : I was just wondering if they're any other programmer here [2017-01-28 03:24:37] MikeHunt : ronensinger: i know c# [2017-01-28 03:24:52] MikeHunt : done a bit of php/css/other stuff in past [2017-01-28 03:24:55] enki0182 : I really just want to know what i can use to get a nice UI with all my dim'd var's and gets into a DB... then perform code (buys and sells) on the data via a nice little UI displaying what its all doing... but i dont even know where to start [2017-01-28 03:25:28] enki0182 : been 12 years since I did VB.net... and that shit dont work well no more... the worlds gone to REST [2017-01-28 03:25:58] enki0182 : ronensinger: where would you start? [2017-01-28 03:26:00] enki0182 : csharp? [2017-01-28 03:26:12] enki0182 : csharpUI? Swagger? [2017-01-28 03:27:39] ronensinger : I would start with PHP [2017-01-28 03:27:39] enki0182 : ive read up a bit and I know BitMex_Sam seems to be a 1337 programmer for the stuff... but I have to re-educate myself again to be able to even ask for help without wasting his time. [2017-01-28 03:27:48] ronensinger : And make it into a website [2017-01-28 03:28:02] ronensinger : That way, you can access if anywhere [2017-01-28 03:28:08] ronensinger : I'd be willing to do it for you [2017-01-28 03:28:10] ronensinger : For a price [2017-01-28 03:28:29] ronensinger : enki0182: Let me know if you're interested [2017-01-28 03:29:22] ronensinger : enki0182: Are you there? [2017-01-28 03:29:31] enki0182 : Im interested... but doubt i could justify paying you what your worth. [2017-01-28 03:30:00] ronensinger : How about I give you my email and we can discuss the specifics [2017-01-28 03:30:19] enki0182 : i would personally grind the hours away on google re educating myself on how to do it.... Im a stinge... lol [2017-01-28 03:30:41] ronensinger : enki0182: Well, lets talk it out [2017-01-28 03:31:00] enki0182 : happy to... I would place my email in the bitmex trollbox but its <fullname>@outlook.com... so i would rather not. [2017-01-28 03:31:07] ronensinger : I see [2017-01-28 03:31:28] ronensinger : I'll give you mine then [2017-01-28 03:31:31] enki0182 : too bad bitmex doesnt have PM function [2017-01-28 03:31:37] enki0182 : ok [2017-01-28 03:33:11] ronensinger : enki0182: Go get on the IRC chat [2017-01-28 03:33:11] FreeBitcoins : btc usd looks ok to buy but cny so bearish [2017-01-28 03:33:20] ronensinger : enki0182: And send me a Private message [2017-01-28 03:33:37] ronensinger : enki0182: You can get to the IRC chat by clicking on the IRC button on the top right of the trollbox [2017-01-28 03:34:05] ronen : Are you here, enki? [2017-01-28 03:34:48] enki0182 : yeh [2017-01-28 03:34:58] ronensinger : enki0182: Have you gone on the IRC chat? [2017-01-28 03:35:01] ronensinger : Send me a PM there [2017-01-28 03:35:05] ronensinger : My username is: ronen [2017-01-28 03:35:14] enki0182 : champ - on my way [2017-01-28 03:37:33] ronen : Are you here? [2017-01-28 03:37:36] ronen : Enki? [2017-01-28 03:38:37] ronensinger : enki0182: ? [2017-01-28 03:40:01] enki0182 : ronensinger: email sent to you [2017-01-28 03:40:04] enki0182 : ty [2017-01-28 03:41:05] ronensinger : enki0182: Got it. [2017-01-28 03:42:19] enki0182 : ronensinger: thanks - im off for now - going to go eat something and let my long sit here and ferment a bit.... [2017-01-28 03:48:05] FreeBitcoins : mmmm kimchi [2017-01-28 03:48:47] blacktuesday : 33k bid hello [2017-01-28 03:55:37] Sultan Pepper : ❌?➡️❌???? [2017-01-28 05:44:01] yungyang : hmm [2017-01-28 05:48:53] enki0182 : we going up or down guys? [2017-01-28 05:53:14] FreeBitcoins : no liquididty so grab a bunch of coins or cash and you can make it up as you go [2017-01-28 05:53:46] bitmors : Question... Where does realized PNL come from? [2017-01-28 05:54:37] bitmors : I have a position that is -0.07btc unrealized... And +0.58 realized... What does that mean? [2017-01-28 05:56:41] MikeHunt : bitmors: unrealized applies to open trades [2017-01-28 05:57:04] MikeHunt : ie: if ur trading a loss but u havent closed it yet, u havent realized the loss yet [2017-01-28 05:59:35] guacamole : anyone know if bitvc futures is basically dead? don't see any volume there - maybe the exchange fees killed off liquidity from arbitrage traders? [2017-01-28 06:03:51] FreeBitcoins : this lull in trade activity is atrocious. cant get filled on okc and btcc spread is buttery. prob trade usd/euro after closing this... [2017-01-28 06:27:47] MikeHunt : expect dead for next week [2017-01-28 06:27:53] MikeHunt : due to china holiday [2017-01-28 07:00:34] VenCap : Feb 4th it last until. [2017-01-28 07:00:43] VenCap : But really, you guys fully stop trading on "holidays" [2017-01-28 07:00:50] VenCap : so it does not have that big an impact. [2017-01-28 07:30:50] Papou : we need volatility back...this is dumb [2017-01-28 07:41:15] VenCap : Good Morning Papou Doc. hows your Shorts looknig today? [2017-01-28 07:53:16] -_- : man [2017-01-28 07:53:19] -_- : yolo 25x long xmr [2017-01-28 07:53:25] -_- : anoncoin the future [2017-01-28 07:53:26] -_- : sorry btc [2017-01-28 07:54:39] VenCap : xmr pnd coin. controlled by a few people. Its going to introduce Segwit, just like Stratis. [2017-01-28 08:21:46] -_- : 0kcoin climbing. few more buys and a new high [2017-01-28 08:31:23] -_- : futures new high [2017-01-28 08:32:40] aethlios : low volume slow up doesn't convince futures, still discount. [2017-01-28 08:32:43] micmix : futures were over 1200 [2017-01-28 08:33:03] micmix : no new highs in sight [2017-01-28 08:35:04] rapidgains : $950 incoming over the next week [2017-01-28 08:36:55] BTCKing : Bitfinex rallying right now [2017-01-28 08:42:53] rullwull : currently a few dollars move considering as a rally ? [2017-01-28 08:56:11] Yuppie : Anyone has some colour on alts? Looking to diverify a bit. Stratis and Pascalcoin in particular... [2017-01-28 09:02:58] BTCKing : most alts won't gain traction. look into the ones that already have traction (bigish market cap) [2017-01-28 09:03:07] BTCKing : like ethereum [2017-01-28 09:06:32] irishsia : Yuppie: Siacoin. Thank me later. Look at the tech and judge for yourself though. [2017-01-28 09:09:50] aethlios : 1ST (firstblood will rally hard in june when beta version of platform is up, also entering polo then) [2017-01-28 09:22:09] micmix : yes, just buy all of them, 99% of them will flop but you might get luck with one or two [2017-01-28 09:22:18] micmix : *lucky [2017-01-28 09:22:58] micmix : and you will feel like super smart big VC ;-) [2017-01-28 09:23:36] Yuppie : The more I think about it the more massive a move over Chinese New Year could actually be. With low vols a massive directional move could be unfolded [2017-01-28 09:24:59] Yuppie : Thx for the tips in alts [2017-01-28 09:40:26] REKT : Liquidated short on `XBTUSD`: buy 6800 @ 919.45 [2017-01-28 09:46:47] herpinator : interesting how split the market is between east and west [2017-01-28 12:59:35] al : Yuppie: LTC looks like it has triple bottomed, picked up a few hundred [2017-01-28 14:41:17] Derreck : 0kcoin daily volume is $2M lol [2017-01-28 14:42:13] Derreck : if it goes down to $1M it would be like 1000x fall in three weeks. [2017-01-28 15:01:15] BTC-Noob : what is the difference between bots and users [2017-01-28 15:02:04] Sultan Pepper : Bots don't scream when you put them in the oven [2017-01-28 15:33:29] herpinator : Sultan Pepper: lol! [2017-01-28 15:41:27] birdie numn : volatility is dead. long live the volatility [2017-01-28 16:39:42] -_- : only 664 users. all my friends getting rekt [2017-01-28 16:41:14] Putin : anyone heard of ban on bitcoin for marijuana sales? [2017-01-28 16:42:37] -_- : no [2017-01-28 16:44:59] herpinator : this is so boring I think I'll come back in a few weeks [2017-01-28 16:48:55] Putin : https://www.rt.com/usa/375343-washington-marijuana-bitcoin-ban/ [2017-01-28 17:03:31] Shaman : ugh [2017-01-28 17:05:58] Sultan Pepper : ?????<crickets [2017-01-28 17:07:08] Sultan Pepper : Chinese; turning day traders into swing traders overnight. [2017-01-28 17:11:15] -_- : china needs to stop celebrating new years and get back to moving the price up and down 5% [2017-01-28 17:15:13] Naelbest : Hi, guys! Anybody can tell me how can I use Bitmex? [2017-01-28 17:16:27] Naelbest : Here is my Wechat. Add me in to chat more. [2017-01-28 17:16:29] Naelbest : Naelbest_ [2017-01-28 17:17:18] Rado2 : Naelbest: Do you have a specific question? [2017-01-28 17:17:44] Naelbest : Yeah, I have. [2017-01-28 17:17:46] Rado2 : This platform is not for newbie traders [2017-01-28 17:17:57] Naelbest : Oh, so, how can I start? [2017-01-28 17:18:18] Rado2 : try trading on the Testnet first [2017-01-28 17:18:25] aethlios : Naelbest: with minimum (like 10 contracts) to start learning [2017-01-28 17:18:33] Rado2 : https://testnet.bitmex.com/app/trade/XBTUSD [2017-01-28 17:18:50] Naelbest : Thanks! So helpful. Are you based in China? [2017-01-28 17:18:55] aethlios : better use real market with 10 contracts. [2017-01-28 17:20:52] Naelbest : Yeah, thanks. If anyone wants to guide me, please email me at "naelbest@buaa.edu.cn" [2017-01-28 17:21:31] Naelbest : Because we can do something in Africa. I have good connection for that. [2017-01-28 17:23:03] Sultan Pepper : Unfortunately very few people here, myself included, want to make you money. We'd all rather take it, honestly. I'd be glad to explain how it works, but if you want to take our money you'll have to figure out your own strategy [2017-01-28 17:24:25] Sultan Pepper : *meysel excluded* [2017-01-28 17:24:34] Sultan Pepper : myself, geeze [2017-01-28 18:04:06] ronensinger : Naelbest: Hey [2017-01-28 18:14:52] Rado2 : very sloooooow [2017-01-28 18:15:01] Rado2 : weekends not worth trading at the moment [2017-01-28 18:21:31] Rado2 : 25 min no trades [2017-01-28 18:41:18] Naelbest : Sultan Pepper: I know but sharing is caring sometimes. [2017-01-28 18:41:30] Naelbest : Also, we could do other business together. [2017-01-28 18:41:40] Naelbest : ronensinger: Hi [2017-01-28 19:13:49] ronensinger : Naelbest: What's up? [2017-01-28 19:15:05] -_- : only worth trading xmr it seems [2017-01-28 20:26:55] -_- : all right guys. i'm gonna single handily move the market [2017-01-28 20:27:03] -_- : had enough of this sideways bs [2017-01-28 20:28:38] Obama : which way you movin it? [2017-01-28 20:29:12] -_- : gonna pump it up a few pennies [2017-01-28 20:29:21] Obama : just to be clear [2017-01-28 20:29:22] -_- : i'm gonna make a splash [2017-01-28 20:29:26] Obama : you said you were going to pump what? [2017-01-28 20:29:43] -_- : gonna pump btc [2017-01-28 20:29:55] -_- : jk [2017-01-28 20:30:01] -_- : i'm gonna shotgun a beer instead [2017-01-28 20:30:09] rapidgains : prob gonna pump tho lol [2017-01-28 20:30:21] PARAFFIN : Hmm low volume = [2017-01-28 20:30:22] -_- : i drew some lines. still unclear when it will pump [2017-01-28 20:30:23] PARAFFIN : ? [2017-01-28 20:30:29] -_- : china partying for a few more days [2017-01-28 20:30:30] PARAFFIN : Why no move? [2017-01-28 20:30:48] -_- : not even sure if china leads any more [2017-01-28 20:31:17] -_- : i'm actually more excited about ltc [2017-01-28 20:31:56] -_- : http://litecoinblockhalf.com/segwit.php [2017-01-28 20:32:20] -_- : gotta give it 3 days or so to see how close they are to 75% [2017-01-28 20:32:39] -_- : might be what sets off the LTC pump [2017-01-28 20:33:05] -_- : what sucks though is i rather hold LTC and long 20x on 0kcoin quarterly [2017-01-28 20:33:13] -_- : cause ltc market on bitmex sucks [2017-01-28 20:34:02] sleger : just do that then [2017-01-28 20:34:51] -_- : solid idea sleger. [2017-01-28 20:35:06] -_- : then i'll bring my winnings back to bitmex cause i only got love for bitmex <3 [2017-01-28 21:15:59] Yuppie : -_-: sane here [2017-01-28 21:16:12] Yuppie : same...? [2017-01-28 21:16:43] Yuppie : OkCoin LTC futures are fine [2017-01-28 21:21:44] Yuppie : Wonder if there is ever going to be some action in ZEC. Probably not... [2017-01-28 21:28:52] PARAFFIN : BTC preparing for a PUMP ? [2017-01-28 21:31:01] Ahhere : PARAFFIN: always [2017-01-28 21:32:29] PARAFFIN : Ahhere: always? When? When always?? Wthf [2017-01-28 21:42:49] -_- : bull flagging btc [2017-01-28 21:42:53] -_- : any day now [2017-01-28 21:42:59] -_- : the great 2% pump will happen [2017-01-28 21:48:27] Noobz : lol [2017-01-28 21:50:43] PARAFFIN : -_-: you long 10000x? [2017-01-28 21:51:21] -_- : yeah man. 100 accounts 100x long [2017-01-28 21:51:22] -_- : lets do this [2017-01-28 21:52:46] Ahhere : PARAFFIN: @-_-wair I'm nervous going long if you guys are long too. [2017-01-28 21:52:49] PARAFFIN : -_-: OK [2017-01-28 21:53:08] PARAFFIN : im always long [2017-01-28 21:53:38] Ahhere : Always [2017-01-28 21:55:00] arougkalos : whats the difference between xbt usd and xbtHusd?why someone to choose to trade xbtH instead of xbt? [2017-01-28 21:58:42] BitMEX_Greg : arougkalos: XBTH is a future, expiry is in March. XBTUSD is a perpetual swap contract with no expiry. They are two different instruments. [2017-01-28 22:00:39] arougkalos : and whats the point of this?is there anything special that will turn people to go to xbth instead of normal xbt and get in and out whenever they want? [2017-01-28 22:04:30] BitMEX_Greg : You can enter and exit both contracts freely, The difference is that a future may trade at a significant basis (premium or discount) while the swap is anchored to the spot price. However the swap entails periodic funding payments, as such the two instruments have different needs for different types of traders [2017-01-28 22:05:44] arougkalos : ok....thank you for the intro :) [2017-01-28 22:06:22] arougkalos : i see you know what you are talking about [2017-01-28 22:06:24] arougkalos : so tell me [2017-01-28 22:06:29] arougkalos : long or short ? [2017-01-28 22:06:30] arougkalos : :P [2017-01-28 22:06:35] arougkalos : i am short [2017-01-28 22:14:37] -_- : whales still not done selling. they got loads of btc to sell all the way up. [2017-01-28 22:22:15] PARAFFIN : the drop from 1180 was crazy [2017-01-28 22:51:56] cookielito : Hey guys can anyone tell me ehat the funding rate is? [2017-01-28 22:52:03] cookielito : Cant see it on the phone [2017-01-28 22:52:20] PARAFFIN : .008 [2017-01-28 22:52:37] cookielito : No more heavy duty negative rates [2017-01-28 22:52:40] cookielito : Crap [2017-01-28 23:58:05] Sultan Pepper : Yep, I held a 25x all-in long at 917 for 3 pay periods though! That was nice [2017-01-28 23:58:49] Sultan Pepper : And I pushed out at 919 when the rates flipped back [2017-01-29 00:15:20] Adriana : xmr pump. time to fomo buy [2017-01-29 00:21:48] yungyang : too late fam [2017-01-29 00:30:10] BTCKing : How come my withdrawals keep getting canceled? [2017-01-29 00:30:59] BTCKing : I've been trying to get bitcoin out of here for 48 hours. It's only once a day they get processed and it's canceled twice, wtf? [2017-01-29 00:31:58] sleger : arent you the scammer guy [2017-01-29 00:37:26] Papou : are u confirming the withdrawl? [2017-01-29 00:41:09] BTCKing : How do you confirm a withdrawal. What do you mean? [2017-01-29 00:41:51] BTCKing : It says pending then I wait and after 13:00 UTC it says that it was canceled and the Bitcoin is left in my account [2017-01-29 00:42:04] Papou : u have to click a link in ur email [2017-01-29 00:42:07] Papou : to confirm [2017-01-29 00:42:31] enki0182 : BTCKing: go long or short by 100x and wait 5 mins - account will be empty... problem solved [2017-01-29 00:43:11] BTCKing : My accounts up because I don't do that... [2017-01-29 00:44:06] BTCKing : Ah okay @Papou I didn't do that. That's why it's not working [2017-01-29 00:51:15] ronensinger : enki0182: Hey enki [2017-01-29 00:52:51] enki0182 : ronensinger: hiya [2017-01-29 02:02:01] REKT : Liquidated short on `XBCH17`: buy 1000 @ 6369.5 [2017-01-29 02:34:16] Sultan Pepper : Yo this place is LIT [2017-01-29 03:01:57] bullwhale : Sultan Pepper: awks [2017-01-29 03:50:13] Ahhere : Sultan Pepper: @bullwhale lolz [2017-01-29 04:44:58] Rado2 : BitMEX_Greg: .BVOL10M is reporting as 0 and messing up my MM bot [2017-01-29 04:45:55] Rado2 : looks like it's back to 0.01 [2017-01-29 04:46:52] Rado2 : that was weird [2017-01-29 04:49:51] micmix : Rado2: volatility indexes are rounded to 2 decimals and can be 0 [2017-01-29 04:53:22] micmix : 'indexes' or 'indices'? where is grammar police when you need it? [2017-01-29 04:54:52] Rado2 : lol [2017-01-29 04:55:24] Rado2 : micmix: back all the way to 0.11 now [2017-01-29 04:55:49] Rado2 : when it went to 0 my bot executed all 3 of my step orders [2017-01-29 04:56:10] micmix : 10m is not robust at all, jumps from 0 to 0.2 with no real volatility changes [2017-01-29 04:56:36] micmix : Rado2: you have wrong math somewhere [2017-01-29 04:56:36] Rado2 : I am noticing this first hand now [2017-01-29 04:57:10] Rado2 : micmix: math is correct if the spread becomes 0 [2017-01-29 04:57:31] micmix : spread can't become 0, you should check for 1 tick [2017-01-29 04:58:04] Rado2 : how is 1 tick going to help? [2017-01-29 04:58:17] Rado2 : oh [2017-01-29 04:58:18] Rado2 : I see [2017-01-29 04:58:23] micmix : min spread is one tick, if it's already 1 tick it can't be improved [2017-01-29 04:58:34] Rado2 : right [2017-01-29 04:58:37] Rado2 : need to add this [2017-01-29 04:58:48] micmix : yep, or you will end up paying taker fees [2017-01-29 04:59:19] Rado2 : micmix: No, I have the parameter in my orders that will not allow taker fees [2017-01-29 04:59:38] micmix : ok, that will save you ;-) [2017-01-29 04:59:45] Rado2 : :-) [2017-01-29 05:00:04] Rado2 : what should I use for volatility? [2017-01-29 05:00:13] Rado2 : I know you said you calculate your own [2017-01-29 05:00:24] micmix : calculate your own based on trade data [2017-01-29 05:00:37] Rado2 : but is there anything simple I can use that is better than BVOL [2017-01-29 05:01:11] Rado2 : micmix: based on BitMEX trade data? [2017-01-29 05:01:32] micmix : even something simple like stdev of log change will work [2017-01-29 05:02:34] micmix : bitmex trade data is the easiest way, look at BVOL formula in reference section and do something similar [2017-01-29 05:03:05] Rado2 : thanks [2017-01-29 05:03:23] Rado2 : will have to pull out the memories of my University years [2017-01-29 05:03:48] micmix : np, but full disclosure: I'm not using bitmex trade data, I'm using data from multiple exchanges [2017-01-29 05:04:05] Rado2 : I know [2017-01-29 05:04:07] Rado2 : you told me [2017-01-29 05:04:11] micmix : not using stdev either for that matter, but you asked for something simple ;-) [2017-01-29 05:04:13] Rado2 : And I will get there one day [2017-01-29 05:04:17] Rado2 : step by step [2017-01-29 05:04:18] Rado2 : :-) [2017-01-29 05:04:48] Rado2 : for me most important was that my logic makes sense and it's profitable [2017-01-29 05:04:59] Rado2 : I think I have achieved this now [2017-01-29 05:05:14] Rado2 : I have a list of things that I need to work on [2017-01-29 05:05:17] micmix : that's great [2017-01-29 05:05:19] Rado2 : need to prioratize :-) [2017-01-29 05:05:31] Rado2 : prioritize [2017-01-29 05:53:19] Apocalyptic : Rado2: is that you crowding the swap orderbook recently ? [2017-01-29 05:53:55] Rado2 : Apocalyptic: lol [2017-01-29 05:54:17] Apocalyptic : there's some new MM bot in town agressively killing the spread [2017-01-29 05:54:45] micmix : ^^ that works until it doesn't when volatility returns :-) [2017-01-29 05:55:01] Apocalyptic : micmix: can't wait [2017-01-29 05:59:08] Apocalyptic : finally some action [2017-01-29 05:59:45] Rado2 : Apocalyptic: I hated the 0.01 spread [2017-01-29 06:00:01] Apocalyptic : Rado2: so you're not the one quoting it ? [2017-01-29 06:00:34] Rado2 : no way [2017-01-29 06:22:10] micmix : Apocalyptic: as far as I can see 1 tick spread is the result of multiple bots trying to outbid each other, it's not one MM quoting with 1 tick spread [2017-01-29 06:23:55] Apocalyptic : micmix: that's sensible, but there's not really a way to tell [2017-01-29 06:25:13] micmix : I can pretty much tell just by looking at the orderbook, I guess I've got a feel for it after staring at orderbooks for many years :smile: [2017-01-29 06:25:55] Apocalyptic : micmix: how about this [2017-01-29 06:26:22] Apocalyptic : it can be two bots trying to outbid each other, once the spread becames too tight one of the bots gives up [2017-01-29 06:26:36] Apocalyptic : possibly resulting the other quoting the 1 tick spread [2017-01-29 06:27:09] Apocalyptic : (which is a poor decision, but can happen if the bots doesn't have a floor on the spread) [2017-01-29 06:27:40] thomaskikansha : wow suddenly the swap liquidity beats okc futures [2017-01-29 06:27:41] micmix : that's exactly how it looks, 2-3 bigger ones plus 1-2 small ones [2017-01-29 06:28:26] Apocalyptic : micmix: then this doesn't exclude the "one MM quoting with 1 tick spread" :) [2017-01-29 06:29:51] micmix : Apocalyptic: no, it's two different bots, one on the bid side, another on the ask side. on regular markets you often have one MM on both sides with 1 tick spread [2017-01-29 06:30:43] micmix : that's what I mean by "one MM quoting with 1 tick spread" [2017-01-29 06:30:49] Apocalyptic : oh I see [2017-01-29 07:04:50] Ugly_Old_Goat : Good evening ladies [2017-01-29 07:09:21] Ugly_Old_Goat : March only 5 under, on its way to 20-30 over [2017-01-29 07:11:10] Ugly_Old_Goat : If take out 930 tonight its off the races [2017-01-29 07:11:46] micmix : okc quarterly is $901, it's not over [2017-01-29 07:12:02] Ugly_Old_Goat : All those who got wiped out will be afraid to buy [2017-01-29 07:13:34] Ugly_Old_Goat : It can end very quickly. My understanding is they are stuck with some very high loans and funds are tied up until they come due. but I don't trade on OKcoin, just hear about the problems [2017-01-29 07:16:38] Ugly_Old_Goat : Had a minor coupe today. Decided to put 5% of my btc into XCP and averaged about 22. Shot up to 45 today. Looks like a solid platform. Got some ideas for it. Also bot some rate pepe cashtoday just for fun [2017-01-29 07:36:43] Apocalyptic : micmix: any reason why the BVOL formula used by bitmex is a std-dev multiplied by the sqrt of the number of data points and not simply the stddev ? [2017-01-29 07:40:08] Apocalyptic : seems like this has an impact of increasing the result when you have more data [2017-01-29 07:40:51] Apocalyptic : without the data itself being more volatile [2017-01-29 08:07:27] j8 : Apocalyptic: you multiply by a sqrt to change the units to daily, weekly or annualized volatility [2017-01-29 08:08:49] Apocalyptic : j8: I don't follow, how does that change the units ? [2017-01-29 08:09:26] Apocalyptic : you can have 500 data points or 1000 for the same amount of time [2017-01-29 08:09:34] Apocalyptic : depending how you sample [2017-01-29 08:09:39] j8 : it's the rule for time-scaling volatility, i guess based on random walk assumptions [2017-01-29 08:10:34] j8 : if you have 1% daily volatility that implies 1%*sqrt(365) = 19.1% annualized [2017-01-29 08:11:54] j8 : so if you use 288 5-minute samples for daily volatility, you multiply by sqrt(288), because you want it in daily terms, not 5 minute [2017-01-29 08:12:46] Apocalyptic : j8: I see [2017-01-29 08:13:09] Apocalyptic : but if I want just "instant" volatility I don't really need this scaling factor [2017-01-29 08:13:44] j8 : it's just a scaling factor, doesn't change how "instant" the index is [2017-01-29 08:13:58] Apocalyptic : indeed [2017-01-29 08:14:57] j8 : but say you want to compare how volatile the last hour was compared to say weekly volatility. then you would want to do it in the same units [2017-01-29 08:15:07] Apocalyptic : j8: the issue I was contemplating is that instead of having 5-minutes samples, my samples are direct trades [2017-01-29 08:15:21] Apocalyptic : so my sample grows over time, until a certain max limit [2017-01-29 08:15:57] Apocalyptic : and during this time, the formula would make volatility increase even though the new trades could all be at a constant price [2017-01-29 08:16:09] Apocalyptic : see what I mean ? [2017-01-29 08:16:45] Apocalyptic : because you just scale the thing you computed before [2017-01-29 08:17:48] Apocalyptic : once the trade buffer is full, it indeed just becomes a constant scaling factor and it's not really an issue [2017-01-29 08:18:28] j8 : yeah i think i dealt with that sort of thing a while back. one sec [2017-01-29 08:19:16] Apocalyptic : I think I will just remove it [2017-01-29 08:22:52] j8 : yeah so if you're accumulating more samples, you would still be multiplying by sqrt(288), not the number of samples [2017-01-29 08:24:36] j8 : but if you're doing non-uniform samples (every trade) then things are gonna get complicated [2017-01-29 08:28:37] Apocalyptic : j8: I admit the time non-uniformity does bother me a bit [2017-01-29 08:28:56] Rado2 : j8 knows his shit [2017-01-29 08:28:58] Apocalyptic : as It might skew the computations in a way I don't really want [2017-01-29 08:29:08] Apocalyptic : but we'll see how it goes [2017-01-29 08:30:50] j8 : well, you'll come up with something, which will be correlated to volatility at least :) what's it for? [2017-01-29 08:31:05] Apocalyptic : j8: same thing as you I guess :) [2017-01-29 08:39:07] j8 : i once got the idea that it would be cool to make a whole set of non-uniform indicators that update every tick... and pretty much gave up after EMA [2017-01-29 08:39:57] Apocalyptic : heh, I was contemplating doing RSI that way [2017-01-29 08:40:07] Apocalyptic : good thing I didn't start [2017-01-29 08:40:51] Apocalyptic : but for some use of volatility I think on-tick updating makes sense [2017-01-29 08:41:51] j8 : what i used to do was precalculate the next uniform sample on every tick [2017-01-29 08:42:40] j8 : so if you're doing 5-minute samples you're calculating what the next one will be if the price doesn't change [2017-01-29 08:43:01] Apocalyptic : that's smart [2017-01-29 08:43:08] Apocalyptic : why are you no longer doing it ? [2017-01-29 08:43:50] j8 : i still think it's a good idea, at the time it was for a very specific purpose [2017-01-29 08:44:08] j8 : which was trading the BVOL futures, when they existed [2017-01-29 08:59:43] Apocalyptic : j8: why were they discontinued ? [2017-01-29 09:00:23] j8 : because no one wanted to trade with me :( [2017-01-29 09:01:15] j8 : the liquidity was bad, no one really wanted to quote it [2017-01-29 09:02:01] Apocalyptic : if you look at some alts here the liquidity is really bad too [2017-01-29 09:02:41] Rado2 : Apocalyptic: it used to be better when they were moving [2017-01-29 09:03:08] Apocalyptic : Rado2: when I came here there was this nice monthly LTC swap [2017-01-29 09:04:36] Apocalyptic : and even when it wasn't moving much the book was thicker than LTC7D now [2017-01-29 09:09:04] Derreck : so the Chinese New Year started. We have 2-3 days for the promised big moves [2017-01-29 09:09:37] Yuppie : I am still happy and surprised with got some market makers here quoting reasonable sizes. After the massive selloff I expected most of them to be completely wiped out...very difficult to do good mm in such an environment [2017-01-29 09:16:58] dodic : i kind of like quiet trollbox while i lurk smart people's bot conversations [2017-01-29 09:17:18] dodic : Things were getting kind polo-ish [2017-01-29 09:17:27] dodic : kind of* [2017-01-29 09:22:19] Yuppie : Seems now mainly heavily involved people here [2017-01-29 09:23:01] Yuppie : Who got nothing better to do on the weekend like myself ? [2017-01-29 09:29:24] FreeBitcoins : BTC entering the last stretch of this triangle and will be forced to make a move. Expecting violent volatility to resume [2017-01-29 09:36:32] Yuppie : Don't like the price action...just took some chips off the table [2017-01-29 11:15:02] Ahhere : this is the worst time to be watching charts. setting alarms and going to live my life until bitcoin kicks asses again later today [2017-01-29 11:18:01] micmix : Apocalyptic: yes, @j8 is correct. sqrt in the BVOL formula is time scaling factor based on the assumption that log returns follow GBM [2017-01-29 11:19:43] micmix : Apocalyptic: using stdev and time scaling that way breaks down on shorter time intervals bc market microstructure noise starts to dominate and volatility becomes greatly overestimated [2017-01-29 11:20:35] Apocalyptic : micmix: GBM ? [2017-01-29 11:20:47] micmix : Geometric Brownian Motion [2017-01-29 11:21:03] Apocalyptic : micmix: thank you [2017-01-29 11:22:47] micmix : if you start using ticks with similar formula all your volatility comes from microstructure noise. prices are not continuous, they jump from bid to ask and back. that will be the main factor for high stdev [2017-01-29 11:23:18] Apocalyptic : micmix: I'm experimenting this way of computation indeed [2017-01-29 11:23:49] Apocalyptic : although on a large enough sample so that the noise is somewhat filtered out [2017-01-29 11:24:33] Apocalyptic : even though as I take the log ratio of successive ticks it may still have an impact [2017-01-29 11:25:20] Apocalyptic : I guess that way my measurement takes into account the spread as well [2017-01-29 11:26:36] micmix : you will not be able to filter out that noise so easily bc spreads in bitcoin are quite large. there are different approaches to estimating high-frequency volatility, like multisampling, Zhou estimator and its modifications etc. [2017-01-29 11:28:40] Apocalyptic : micmix: I'm not aware of these approaches, will research that [2017-01-29 11:31:59] micmix : Apocalyptic: I'm not sure how deep you want to go. It's bitcoin, I'm pretty sure you can come up with something simpler that works reasonably well if you just want to adjust spreads based on volatility [2017-01-29 11:32:57] Apocalyptic : micmix: it's always good to have some room for improvement and general ideas for how to do that :) [2017-01-29 11:33:16] Apocalyptic : but yes I will start with something simpler and work up from that [2017-01-29 11:34:23] micmix : yeah, don't overthink it too much ;-) (disclosure: I'm not a quant, I just play one in trollbox) [2017-01-29 11:34:48] Apocalyptic : I'm quite sure you are, or used to be ;) [2017-01-29 11:35:24] micmix : I'm a dev but I've been around some smart people :smile: [2017-01-29 11:43:33] laisee : what micmix said. using a simple model u understand beats trying out complex stuff u dont. [2017-01-29 11:44:28] micmix : Apocalyptic: found this to be a good intro if you want to dig deeper: http://cims.nyu.edu/~almgren/timeseries/notes7.pdf [2017-01-29 11:44:49] micmix : what @laisee said ;-) [2017-01-29 11:44:55] Apocalyptic : micmix: I hope those smart people won't come MM here :) [2017-01-29 11:46:00] Apocalyptic : micmix: thanks for the link [2017-01-29 11:46:20] micmix : no, those people have zero interest in our kiddie pools ;-) [2017-01-29 11:47:32] laisee : heh, true. Bitmex is a shallow pool for the big sharks ... too much visbility. [2017-01-29 11:48:29] micmix : I remember doing a presentation and showing monthly volumes on BTC/CNY markets (when those volumes where huge) and the comment was "Those must be daily volumes, they look way too small to be monthly" [2017-01-29 11:49:04] micmix : so we are safe for now :smile: [2017-01-29 11:51:51] Apocalyptic : "As mentioned above, if quote data is available the best price val- ues to use are the bid-offer midpoint, evaluated at the times of the trades." from your paper [2017-01-29 11:52:01] Apocalyptic : this may be good enough for what I need [2017-01-29 11:52:28] micmix : yep, should be, mid price is more stable [2017-01-29 12:41:55] birdie numn : Trollbox - powered by chynabots [2017-01-29 12:43:44] FreeBitcoins : Open value decreased by 1000 BTC [2017-01-29 13:30:02] coolio : recent trades in XBTUSD spell out: 1337 [2017-01-29 13:31:30] enki0182 : coolio: your an old btce trader form 3 years ago arent you? [2017-01-29 13:31:55] enki0182 : recognise the name. [2017-01-29 13:32:17] Tetsuo : https://www.cryptocoinsnews.com/bitfinexs-hacked-bitcoins-move-5-recovery-bounty-offered/ [2017-01-29 13:32:30] Tetsuo : "“The hacker transferred the coins… to a variety of exchanges, some well known… Right now it looks like they are testing to see how different exchanges react to these initial small deposits.” [2017-01-29 13:33:07] coolio : must be conquincidence, just picked a random cool nick [2017-01-29 13:33:18] enki0182 : lol ok [2017-01-29 13:33:48] Tetsuo : btce was "koolio" not "coolio" [2017-01-29 13:35:24] Tetsuo : if the hacker who is now transferring coins to spot exchanges is also the one with the 380k contracts (probably short) position on okcoin then.... [2017-01-29 13:39:03] enki0182 : Tetsuo: thanks... was not blaming coolio for koolio's stuff.... at the same time I think the finex hackors will be caught and punished. [2017-01-29 13:39:57] Tetsuo : how many times before have exchange "hackers"(aka insiders/owners) been caught and punished? [2017-01-29 13:40:12] Tetsuo : 1 out of 10? [2017-01-29 13:40:16] Tetsuo : 1 out of 50? [2017-01-29 13:52:45] enki0182 : they will be caught and punished [2017-01-29 13:55:48] enki0182 : when further regulation come in it will be retrospective- and if you dont think the alphabet agencies got the tech to track it - you aint got the knowledge to be a hacker. ao i advise behaviour. (good behaviour). The very element of btc and others is watched closely.... and will some into, under thir won rules. [2017-01-29 13:56:06] enki0182 : and they aint gunna let any amount over $10k go to waste