This is a mirror of the original BitMEX trollbox archive that used to be online here. BitMEX disabled their archive after the DDOS attack so I have decided to make my mirror publicly available.
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<< >> English 中文 Русский 한국어 日本語 Español Français [2016-06-23 21:09:06] wurstgelee : lol @ deutsche mark zone [2016-06-23 21:09:09] rapidtrades : aethlios: plz...it means no such thing and even if it did markets don't discount that far out [2016-06-23 21:09:15] Bacon futures trader : Damadge been done either way the results of the voting [2016-06-23 21:09:21] Rado : CNBC reporting exit polls already [2016-06-23 21:09:30] rapidtrades : the 52% one? [2016-06-23 21:09:40] aethlios : rapidtrades: study how soviet union collapsed. [2016-06-23 21:10:01] rapidtrades : jew we're here to trade [2016-06-23 21:10:18] justinlooking : and troll [2016-06-23 21:10:33] Rado : http://www.cnbc.com/2016/06/23/opinion-poll-suggests-britain-favors-remaining-in-eu.html [2016-06-23 21:10:59] rapidtrades : yeah thats the one [2016-06-23 21:11:03] Rado : aethlios: don't mind rapidtrades [2016-06-23 21:11:12] Rado : this means he loves you [2016-06-23 21:11:19] BitMEX_Arthur : cable rallying hard [2016-06-23 21:11:26] BitMEX_Arthur : looks like remain won the day [2016-06-23 21:11:28] justinlooking : pretty conclusive [2016-06-23 21:11:33] justinlooking : betfair 13/1 [2016-06-23 21:11:34] rapidtrades : not really hard...it did better on polls [2016-06-23 21:11:54] lockhedge : will turnout on local level be released before the final results? #brexit [2016-06-23 21:11:54] rapidtrades : anycase looking to sell the news [2016-06-23 21:12:03] rapidtrades : lockhedge: prolly yes [2016-06-23 21:13:07] lockhedge : rapidtrades: any official projections based on local tournout? [2016-06-23 21:13:29] rapidtrades : i have no idea [2016-06-23 21:14:16] rapidtrades : damit i should've bought the sp500... [2016-06-23 21:14:42] rapidtrades : i have some euro longs that are gaining tho [2016-06-23 21:14:50] Rado : can I insult British people? [2016-06-23 21:14:57] Rune : I missed it what happened [2016-06-23 21:15:17] Rado : British are pussies [2016-06-23 21:15:30] Rune : whelp [2016-06-23 21:15:44] justinlooking : ofc Rado, teeth are goto [2016-06-23 21:15:46] Rune : think bitcoin will drop because of this?? [2016-06-23 21:16:13] Rado : no [2016-06-23 21:16:16] Rado : it's already priced in [2016-06-23 21:17:41] Skitrx : bitfinex getting excited [2016-06-23 21:18:06] BTCDJS : I am not staying up till 3-4 o'clock [2016-06-23 21:18:25] BTCDJS : I will just hear it on the radio tomorrow morning [2016-06-23 21:19:36] Skitrx : think exit polls are enough to start fomo? [2016-06-23 21:20:05] Skitrx : nvm finex just took off lol [2016-06-23 21:20:49] Rado : volume also very good [2016-06-23 21:25:05] Skitrx : some big china buys [2016-06-23 21:25:07] RoftheN : How do you PARTLY close an order? Like if you have 2000 qty, how do you close only 1000? [2016-06-23 21:26:10] Bacon futures trader : This premium is complete shit [2016-06-23 21:26:24] Bacon futures trader : 16% commision for opening a position [2016-06-23 21:26:26] BitMEX_Arthur : RoftheN: If you are long 2,000 and want to close some, sell 1,000 [2016-06-23 21:26:57] Bacon futures trader : Is there a way to calc taker/maker fee upfront? [2016-06-23 21:26:59] RoftheN : That makes sense lol [2016-06-23 21:27:21] BitMEX_Arthur : Bacon futures trader: Use a post only order if you don't want to pay taker fees [2016-06-23 21:28:57] aethlios : BitMEX_Arthur: Arthur in 21 hours eth swap premium/discount starts as stated already?? [2016-06-23 21:29:26] Rado : BitMEX_Arthur: we need to work on a bot that gives the answers in the chat when someone asks a question [2016-06-23 21:29:31] Bacon futures trader : Alright thanks BitMEX_Arthur. Still trying to get my head around fees and trading cost. [2016-06-23 21:29:46] BitMEX_Arthur : aethlios: 12:00 GMT today [2016-06-23 21:29:48] Rado : I don't know how you do it every day answering the same question over and over :-) [2016-06-23 21:29:53] BitMEX_Arthur : or tomorrow Friday [2016-06-23 21:30:20] Bacon futures trader : I placed a limit order for 2k and had to pay a fee of 0.0365 xbt [2016-06-23 21:30:30] BitMEX_Arthur : Rado: There are AI bots that can do that, we are looking into those, you give them a knowledge base and they answer questions [2016-06-23 21:30:37] Bacon futures trader : which is huge considering the margin req [2016-06-23 21:30:49] Rado : yep, that's what I meant [2016-06-23 21:31:45] BitMEX_Arthur : Bacon futures trader: You can also look at it his way, you would pay a much higher fee on a spot exchange to execute a US$2k worth of Bitcoin order [2016-06-23 21:35:12] jung1 : so its official? we can go long now? [2016-06-23 21:35:55] BTCDJS : jung1: you wanna go long China A50? Sure. Trump loves China too [2016-06-23 21:36:07] Rune : come on bitcoin break out for me [2016-06-23 21:36:13] Rune : I need this one favor [2016-06-23 21:36:50] BTCDJS : Rune: gamblers say the same sort of things to the roulette table [2016-06-23 21:37:20] Bacon futures trader : buy the dip [2016-06-23 21:37:20] Rado : lol BTCDJS [2016-06-23 21:37:22] Rado : so true [2016-06-23 21:37:29] Rado : Rune: add a stop please [2016-06-23 21:37:31] Skitrx : lately btc might have well be a roulette table [2016-06-23 21:40:17] Rune : someone with 400 mil push the price up for me to make a few bitcoins please thanks [2016-06-23 21:40:18] lockhedge : Skitrx: so start market making and run the roulette table ;) [2016-06-23 21:42:47] jung1 : we will see 500 [2016-06-23 21:42:54] jung1 : its not end imo [2016-06-23 21:43:04] Rado : maybe jung1 [2016-06-23 21:43:06] Rado : maybe not [2016-06-23 21:44:19] jung1 : would be cool [2016-06-23 21:44:31] BTCDJS : some wise words from walter white https://twitter.com/BreakingOutBad/status/742536149164384256 [2016-06-23 21:45:07] jung1 : http://bitcoinx.io/news/articles/coinbase-now-accepts-paypal-as-a-payment-option/ [2016-06-23 21:45:34] jung1 : and they gonna add credit cards ass well [2016-06-23 21:45:59] jung1 : so next bubble will be on credit [2016-06-23 21:46:00] jung1 : hehe [2016-06-23 21:47:38] BitMEX_Arthur : I wonder how they manage charge backs [2016-06-23 21:47:51] BitMEX_Arthur : Sounds like the best form of cc fraud [2016-06-23 21:48:30] Rado : https://jesse-livermore.com/trading-rules.html [2016-06-23 21:49:07] BitMEX_Arthur : One of the best books ever [2016-06-23 21:50:36] BTCDJS : Only enter a trade after the action of the market confirms your opinion and then enter promptly [2016-06-23 21:50:56] BTCDJS : this is one of the mistakes Ive been making lately [2016-06-23 21:52:13] Rado : yes, really good [2016-06-23 21:52:37] BTCDJS : Rado: I'm reading one of his books now. [2016-06-23 21:53:09] Rado : cool BTCDJS [2016-06-23 21:54:21] BTCDJS : Reminiscence of a stock operator [2016-06-23 21:54:36] BitMEX_Arthur : https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_O5fdMFKEC0 [2016-06-23 21:55:19] BitMEX_Arthur : Dying laughing [2016-06-23 21:56:19] RoftheN : I saw that earlier today, was pretty funny [2016-06-23 21:56:49] bitrader : brexit or not brexit grexit assxit..it's bullshit [2016-06-23 21:57:04] aethlios : BTCDJS: do you like the book? nice story, wall street was like crypto those days, before 1933 regulations. [2016-06-23 21:57:12] Rado : BitMEX_Arthur: that was funny [2016-06-23 21:57:12] bitrader : because the new world order coming ;) [2016-06-23 21:57:36] Rado : agreed bitrader [2016-06-23 21:59:41] BTCDJS : BitMEX_Arthur: funny stuff ? [2016-06-23 22:00:35] BTCDJS : aethlios: yes very good mate. I did not know that about wall street. interesting... [2016-06-23 22:00:49] bitrader : this is just an politics joke [2016-06-23 22:01:38] aethlios : BTCDJS: it is interesting when you read about the cotton trade he made and lost all. [2016-06-23 22:01:42] bitrader : game is already played [2016-06-23 22:01:51] jung1 : BTCDJS: this is my ultimate trading books collection http://www.cabafx.com/trading-ebooks-collection/newpdf/ [2016-06-23 22:02:33] bitrader : this mens rule around the world [2016-06-23 22:02:57] bitrader : thess mens rule around the world [2016-06-23 22:03:21] BTCDJS : jung1: I think you shared that once before. Ive got it booked marked already [2016-06-23 22:03:21] bitrader : sorry my english is bad [2016-06-23 22:03:29] bitrader : i'm not one [2016-06-23 22:03:51] jung1 : posiible [2016-06-23 22:04:43] justinlooking : question is [2016-06-23 22:04:44] justinlooking : bit-raider or bi-trader [2016-06-23 22:04:46] BTCDJS : Right fellas. I'm off to bed. Work in the morning... [2016-06-23 22:05:06] BTCDJS : jung1: I got that link from this troll box so it was probably you [2016-06-23 22:05:34] BTCDJS : justinlooking: he is a bi-trader. He likes it both ways [2016-06-23 22:05:39] bitrader : isis work for them [2016-06-23 22:05:50] luckynuke : no [2016-06-23 22:05:53] luckynuke : isis works for me [2016-06-23 22:06:03] jung1 : you are them? [2016-06-23 22:06:11] bitrader : too [2016-06-23 22:06:15] bitrader : no [2016-06-23 22:06:23] jung1 : you are? [2016-06-23 22:06:28] jung1 : damn.. [2016-06-23 22:07:09] bitrader : i know that its bullshit [2016-06-23 22:07:11] BTCDJS : luckynuke: the government is watching this trollbox. ? [2016-06-23 22:07:24] bitrader : interest conflict [2016-06-23 22:07:45] bitrader : yeah [2016-06-23 22:07:55] bitrader : prism project [2016-06-23 22:08:09] bitrader : ;D [2016-06-23 22:09:15] bitrader : if brexit [2016-06-23 22:10:07] bitrader : tampora project is compromise [2016-06-23 22:10:33] jung1 : 52/48 for stay so far [2016-06-23 22:10:38] bitrader : tenpora or tempora [2016-06-23 22:10:43] jung1 : everything is possible [2016-06-23 22:10:48] jung1 : like in bitcoin [2016-06-23 22:12:21] asdfman : left brains right brains matter [2016-06-23 22:12:40] bitrader : ****btc chart tonight [2016-06-23 22:12:44] asdfman : non conform vs conform [2016-06-23 22:12:57] bitrader : it's really anoying [2016-06-23 22:13:23] asdfman : why is is it so far below mark? [2016-06-23 22:16:56] bitrader : justinlooking :) red hair [2016-06-23 22:22:26] bitrader : this court want my swagg [2016-06-23 22:22:50] bitrader : it hit my stoploss [2016-06-23 22:23:07] bitrader : hit my open order [2016-06-23 22:23:40] bitrader : and turn back [2016-06-23 22:24:22] men : breakout or breakdown? :P [2016-06-23 22:24:47] men : blue pill or red pill? lol [2016-06-23 22:25:28] bitrader : lol [2016-06-23 22:25:40] bitrader : just smoked [2016-06-23 22:27:00] bitrader : its green ;o [2016-06-23 22:27:53] bitrader : where are volum tonight ? [2016-06-23 22:33:28] Rune : why so much shorting [2016-06-23 22:36:37] bitrader : Rune finex brexit 24k sale silkroad [2016-06-23 22:37:30] rapidtrades : Gibraltar 19k remain 1k leave LOL [2016-06-23 22:38:43] Tetsuo : a rallye wiill defo start, the questio is will we start form here or from 480-500$ [2016-06-23 22:38:45] Rune : I thought bitcoin already dropped enough do to that [2016-06-23 22:39:10] zanza : sat SPX [2016-06-23 22:45:41] justinlooking : it;s odd that cryptowatch weekly interval starts begins thursdays [2016-06-23 22:47:13] j8 : yeah, charts look pretty different. friday would be alright since that's the futures schedule [2016-06-23 22:47:44] bitrader : Tetsuo yeah rsi is too hight [2016-06-23 22:48:55] justinlooking : https://www.betfair.com/exchange/politics/marketactivity?id=1.118739911&selectionId=9481396 [2016-06-23 22:51:19] Rune : the price is going up why are there so much shorts lol I dont get it [2016-06-23 22:51:41] luckynuke : btc is fighting at 625 breakout [2016-06-23 22:51:51] luckynuke : finex 627 [2016-06-23 22:52:01] Rune : houbi 620 [2016-06-23 22:52:10] Rune : the only price we follow [2016-06-23 22:52:23] Rune : lemmings [2016-06-23 22:52:30] luckynuke : lol [2016-06-23 22:52:32] luckynuke : okcoin rules [2016-06-23 22:52:37] luckynuke : ok coin [2016-06-23 22:54:02] Rune : If we where actually at the mark price I would love to sell right now [2016-06-23 23:02:56] BitMEX_Arthur : Remain 65,404, Leave 63,598 [2016-06-23 23:02:58] BitMEX_Arthur : Newcastle [2016-06-23 23:03:33] luckynuke : btc is pumping already ^^ [2016-06-23 23:03:52] luckynuke : and eth goes down [2016-06-23 23:04:06] tscha : hey guys [2016-06-23 23:04:11] luckynuke : he [2016-06-23 23:04:12] luckynuke : y [2016-06-23 23:04:23] Rune : Thank you for this one favor Bitcoin I will remember [2016-06-23 23:04:24] tscha : goddamn, do I really have to stay up tonight? [2016-06-23 23:04:28] Rune : just like I asked [2016-06-23 23:06:54] BitMEX_Arthur : Labour sources have told The Telegraph that Leave are looking at a comfortable Sunderland victory of 60/40. If this is the case then this could be a very interesting twist to tonight's events. [2016-06-23 23:07:08] BitMEX_Arthur : http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016/06/23/eu-referendum-will-it-be-brexit-exit-poll-and-results-live/ [2016-06-23 23:07:13] men : wow [2016-06-23 23:08:10] rapidtrades : keke [2016-06-23 23:08:25] rapidtrades : my short up over 100 pips now [2016-06-23 23:13:07] BitMEX_Arthur : The results are in from the Orkney island and they have voted 63.2 per cent for Remain and 36.8 per cent for Leave. The turnout was 68.3 per cent. [2016-06-23 23:13:35] luckynuke : 57,3% in 42,7% out [2016-06-23 23:14:27] tscha : BitMEX_Arthur: do you think there will be a large effect on Bitcoin price in case of Brexit? [2016-06-23 23:14:45] tscha : I mean BTCUSD [2016-06-23 23:15:23] BitMEX_Arthur : I think there is still a small sliver of hope that Brexit comes through in an upset [2016-06-23 23:15:38] BitMEX_Arthur : But i think remain wins and we retrace back towards 600 [2016-06-23 23:16:10] rapidtrades : f*ck stopped by 1 pip [2016-06-23 23:16:31] BitMEX_Arthur : if remain wins, which i think is likely, volatility will go on holiday until the pboc restarts the party, i don't think halving will have much of an effect unless the price is in the low 500s [2016-06-23 23:16:34] rapidtrades : bagged 110 but now its down more [2016-06-23 23:16:36] BitMEX_Arthur : then you might see the hash rate drop [2016-06-23 23:16:36] rapidtrades : fuck [2016-06-23 23:16:59] rapidtrades : cmon lame...by 1 pip [2016-06-23 23:17:14] rapidtrades : its now over 100 i [2016-06-23 23:17:27] BitMEX_Arthur : Closely-watched EU referendum betting markets have come alive in the last few minutes, as punters splash cash on the chance of a Brexit outcome. A flood of money has pushed up the odds of a Leave outcome to 18pc on Betfair, one of the largest bookmakers. The perception of a higher chance of a UK exit has come in tandem with a fall in the pound, now at around $1.4925. [2016-06-23 23:17:42] rapidtrades : now over 200 down [2016-06-23 23:17:45] rapidtrades : god damit [2016-06-23 23:17:47] RoftheN : Why would Brexit be more influential on the price than the forever irreversible blockreward halving? [2016-06-23 23:18:10] rapidtrades : over 500 pips down now [2016-06-23 23:18:15] rapidtrades : there is no god [2016-06-23 23:18:20] BitMEX_Arthur : Sunderland votes to LEAVE Remain 51,930 Leave 82,394 [2016-06-23 23:18:23] BitMEX_Arthur : Look at cable [2016-06-23 23:18:25] tscha : yeah, pretty sick [2016-06-23 23:18:36] luckynuke : out 50,5% in 49,5% [2016-06-23 23:18:42] rapidtrades : cmon man...stopped by 1pip [2016-06-23 23:18:43] tscha : what was the projection in sunderland? [2016-06-23 23:18:44] BitMEX_Arthur : 1.485 to 1.44 in like 5 minutes [2016-06-23 23:18:50] rapidtrades : cmon lame [2016-06-23 23:18:54] Skitrx : sunderland was projected to leave [2016-06-23 23:19:00] tscha : yes, but by how much? [2016-06-23 23:19:09] rapidtrades : crushing [2016-06-23 23:19:12] RoftheN : The existence of a god can't be proven or disproven. Claiming one exists or doesn't exist is a claim not based on evidence but on blind faith. Not believing in a god or being agnostic about it is the most rational choice. [2016-06-23 23:19:53] lockhedge : there's a projection or just the voting day poll? [2016-06-23 23:20:07] rapidtrades : :( [2016-06-23 23:20:17] BitMEX_Arthur : This is live stream from telegraph [2016-06-23 23:20:21] rapidtrades : there is no god [2016-06-23 23:20:23] BitMEX_Arthur : http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016/06/23/eu-referendum-will-it-be-brexit-exit-poll-and-results-live/ [2016-06-23 23:20:36] BitMEX_Arthur : man some serious pain on cable [2016-06-23 23:21:01] rapidtrades : man i got stopped by 1 pip before it crashed 500 [2016-06-23 23:21:08] rapidtrades : sick [2016-06-23 23:21:36] BitMEX_Arthur : Clackmannanshire votes to REMAIN Remain 57.8%, Leave 42.2% [2016-06-23 23:21:46] aethlios : long night tonight. btc to 1200 in afew hours. [2016-06-23 23:21:46] zanza : wow Forex is so fcked right now [2016-06-23 23:22:17] BitMEX_Arthur : zanza: what pairs are you watching [2016-06-23 23:22:40] zanza : im short SP500, and it shot up to 2125 :) but, also EUR/USD mostly [2016-06-23 23:23:10] zanza : this is just chaos tho [2016-06-23 23:24:05] rapidtrades : shoot me now [2016-06-23 23:24:30] zanza : u got margin called? [2016-06-23 23:24:30] BitMEX_Arthur : "It's no surprise that Sunderland has voted for Brexit. It's an old shipbuilding and coalmining city full of the "left behind" white working class voters who make up Leave's core vote. It's consistently rated as a Eurosceptic city. But what is surprising is the size of the margin. 61% of Sunderland's voters picked Leave, while only 39% went for Remain. Compare that to the 46/40 predicted by political scientist Chris Hanretty or to the 56/43 predicted by JP Morgan." [2016-06-23 23:24:33] rapidtrades : stopped 1 pip 2 mins before that crash [2016-06-23 23:24:52] rapidtrades : nah man made 110 pips but missed that 500 crash [2016-06-23 23:25:11] zanza : there is no way this can pass right? [2016-06-23 23:25:19] zanza : people just being irrational [2016-06-23 23:25:26] rapidtrades : i think so yeah [2016-06-23 23:26:06] zanza : im tempeted to put so way out of market orders [2016-06-23 23:26:10] zanza : to catch a swing [2016-06-23 23:26:11] rapidtrades : i just decreased by size 5x...this is now a diffent ball game [2016-06-23 23:26:39] rapidtrades : i can't even read a chart now with that 500 pips spike [2016-06-23 23:44:52] BitMEX_Arthur : New Ladbrokes odds just in: Remain 2/5 Leave 7/4 [2016-06-23 23:47:27] rapidtrades : so leave is leading? [2016-06-23 23:47:59] rapidtrades : BitMEX_Arthur: is leave leading? forgot how to read those british odds [2016-06-23 23:48:01] tscha : remain is leading when remain odds are lower [2016-06-23 23:48:11] rapidtrades : k [2016-06-23 23:49:10] rapidtrades : http://www.oddschecker.com/politics/british-politics/eu-referendum/referendum-on-eu-membership-result [2016-06-23 23:52:24] zanza : MM's going ham wiping out stops [2016-06-23 23:54:54] laisee : remain in lead by 9k [2016-06-23 23:55:15] tscha : Swindon 51220 remain, 61745 leave [2016-06-23 23:56:00] rapidtrades : told u it won't do shit for bitcoin [2016-06-23 23:56:32] rapidtrades : gbp/jpy crashed 1300 pips [2016-06-23 23:56:32] BitMEX_Arthur : BOOM [2016-06-23 23:56:51] rapidtrades : earlier [2016-06-23 23:57:16] Rune : I think it might when it's closer to decisive [2016-06-23 23:57:48] lockhedge : wow and 75.8% turnout [2016-06-23 23:57:50] rapidtrades : nah [2016-06-23 23:58:02] rapidtrades : leave is leading right now but that was expected [2016-06-23 23:58:10] rapidtrades : earlier places to go for leave [2016-06-23 23:59:11] lockhedge : you have to project turnout and UKIP election results from EP 2014 [2016-06-23 23:59:38] rapidtrades : they say turnout is good for remain [2016-06-23 23:59:59] rapidtrades : cos the kids are out voting [2016-06-24 00:00:15] boolander : some prefer taxation without representation [2016-06-24 00:02:51] BitMEX_Arthur : Remain 56.4%, Leave 43.6% [2016-06-24 00:03:05] rapidtrades : where [2016-06-24 00:03:09] BitMEX_Arthur : Isles of Scilly vote to REMAIN [2016-06-24 00:03:20] BitMEX_Arthur : Broxbourne votes to LEAVE [2016-06-24 00:03:26] BitMEX_Arthur : Leave 66%, Remain 34% [2016-06-24 00:03:35] laisee : does this mean Broxbourne will become a republic? [2016-06-24 00:03:38] lockhedge : they said turnout is good for remain, but the last 2 results (Swindon and Broxbourne) show over average turnout in Out regions [2016-06-24 00:04:06] rapidtrades : yea hearing the same on BBC [2016-06-24 00:04:25] rapidtrades : still think baseline scenario is remain [2016-06-24 00:04:32] BitMEX_Arthur : agreed [2016-06-24 00:05:10] rapidtrades : good thing is we may get a rally now....earlier GBP was way overbought [2016-06-24 00:05:15] tscha : glasgow apparently has very low turnout [2016-06-24 00:06:15] rapidtrades : ahahaha suck it scotland [2016-06-24 00:06:16] laisee : maybe pay-day was Wednesday in Glasgow? [2016-06-24 00:07:22] lockhedge : turnout in London and Scotland will be crucial, it gets much tighter than i thought [2016-06-24 00:08:06] rapidtrades : we'll see... [2016-06-24 00:08:16] BitMEX_Arthur : London turnout lower than expected [2016-06-24 00:08:31] rapidtrades : yessss [2016-06-24 00:08:50] rapidtrades : lol a brexit will unleash days of turmoil in markets [2016-06-24 00:09:02] rapidtrades : *fingers crossed [2016-06-24 00:09:47] lockhedge : tscha: 56.3% http://election.news.sky.com/referendum/glasgow-2831 [2016-06-24 00:10:23] rapidtrades : wow that's low [2016-06-24 00:10:55] BitMEX_Arthur : Kettering votes to LEAVE [2016-06-24 00:11:02] BitMEX_Arthur : Remain 39%, Leave 61% [2016-06-24 00:11:53] rapidtrades : we'll know in about 2 hrs [2016-06-24 00:12:06] rapidtrades : i missed my chance to score big tonight tho... [2016-06-24 00:13:13] lockhedge : city of london turnout 73.6% [2016-06-24 00:13:33] rapidtrades : ah that's not good [2016-06-24 00:14:33] tscha : rapidtrades: what are you betting on? [2016-06-24 00:15:12] rapidtrades : nothing atm....want leave to win tho [2016-06-24 00:20:35] rapidtrades : traders waiting for more certianty [2016-06-24 00:20:40] rapidtrades : cable just ranging atm [2016-06-24 00:21:02] rapidtrades : total now is 370 leave 344 remain [2016-06-24 00:21:11] rapidtrades : 1,000s obv [2016-06-24 00:21:58] BitMEX_Arthur : The University of East Anglia's referendum live blog predicts, on the basis of the first five results, that there will be a narrow win for Leave. [2016-06-24 00:22:07] rapidtrades : yikes [2016-06-24 00:22:18] rapidtrades : hold on to ur pants fellas [2016-06-24 00:23:37] rapidtrades : only 12 out of 382 places are out tho [2016-06-24 00:23:49] rapidtrades : how accurate have they been in the past [2016-06-24 00:24:27] lockhedge : turnouts in London would indicate a Remain Barking & Dagenham 63.9% City of London 73.6% Ealing 70.1% Islington 70.4% Lambeth 67.5% Merton 73.5% Sutton 76% Wandsworth 72% Westminster 65% [2016-06-24 00:24:42] BitMEX_Arthur : South Tyneside votes to LEAVE [2016-06-24 00:24:43] rapidtrades : :( [2016-06-24 00:24:51] BitMEX_Arthur : Remain 38%, Leave 62% [2016-06-24 00:25:26] rapidtrades : betting odds still favor remain by about 2/1 [2016-06-24 00:25:44] BitMEX_Arthur : I think it's going to be a nail bitter [2016-06-24 00:28:55] rapidtrades : leave will sink the pound below 1.4 [2016-06-24 00:29:05] rapidtrades : maybe even 1.3 on a spike [2016-06-24 00:30:02] boolander : freedom only costs a buck-o-five [2016-06-24 00:31:05] tscha : lockhedge: it's not about turnout in london compared to other cities, it's about turnout in london compared to projected turnout in london [2016-06-24 00:31:12] rapidtrades : man 1 pip...can u believe that shit [2016-06-24 00:31:22] tscha : and turnout in london is lower than expected, so it's bad for remain [2016-06-24 00:31:35] rapidtrades : ovr 70% is high tho [2016-06-24 00:31:52] BitMEX_Arthur : When will london results be in? [2016-06-24 00:33:06] lockhedge : tscha: what projection? the 72-68 on day poll? [2016-06-24 00:33:23] rapidtrades : BitMEX_Arthur: http://news.forexlive.com/!/regional-numbers-continue-to-show-leave-slightly-ahead-of-models-20160624 [2016-06-24 00:33:30] rapidtrades : see scpreadsheet [2016-06-24 00:33:56] tscha : lockhedge: no clue, but I read it on I think telegraph-ticker that it is 2-3% lower [2016-06-24 00:34:15] rapidtrades : london should be out according to sheet but its clearly not [2016-06-24 00:34:19] rapidtrades : no big places out yet [2016-06-24 00:35:06] REKT : Liquidated long on `ETHXBT`: Sell 4 @ 0.02167 :punch: :whale: [2016-06-24 00:37:15] BitMEX_Arthur : Eilean Siar: Remain 55.2%, Leave 44.8% West Tyrone: Remain 66.8%, 33.2% Dundee City: Remain 59.8%, Leave 40.2% [2016-06-24 00:37:28] rapidtrades : expected i think [2016-06-24 00:38:37] rapidtrades : blue in the sheet are pro EU [2016-06-24 00:39:12] lockhedge : tscha: afaik there are no real projections (hochrechnungen) in the UK, they would have to use historical and regional results [2016-06-24 00:39:21] BitMEX_Arthur : Lagan Valley: Remain 46.9%, Leave 53.1% North Antrim: Remain 37.8%, Leave 62.2% [2016-06-24 00:39:24] tscha : estimates [2016-06-24 00:40:02] rapidtrades : leave out-performing [2016-06-24 00:40:30] rapidtrades : betting odds still not changed muxh [2016-06-24 00:40:36] BitMEX_Arthur : i'm going to party so hard tonight if leave wins [2016-06-24 00:41:00] boolander : ^^^^ [2016-06-24 00:41:08] rapidtrades : ahahahahaha [2016-06-24 00:41:10] boolander : jello shots in LKF [2016-06-24 00:41:20] BitMEX_Arthur : boolander: Nah son Dom P train [2016-06-24 00:41:22] BitMEX_Arthur : lol [2016-06-24 00:41:30] boolander : Boom! [2016-06-24 00:41:53] tscha : BitMEX_Arthur: are you trading on leave? or just hoping? [2016-06-24 00:42:07] tscha : obviously it would be good for bitmex [2016-06-24 00:42:10] BitMEX_Arthur : i'm hoping [2016-06-24 00:42:11] Rune : 622 and 622.12 just trade each other [2016-06-24 00:42:15] Rune : lol [2016-06-24 00:44:58] luckynuke : bears and bulls raedy to fight on eth [2016-06-24 00:47:25] tscha : Basildon - Remain 37048, Brexit 67251 [2016-06-24 00:47:35] tscha : wait [2016-06-24 00:47:47] rapidtrades : wait for what :) [2016-06-24 00:47:50] BitMEX_Arthur : Remain 30.4%, Leave 69.6% [2016-06-24 00:47:57] BitMEX_Arthur : Hartlepool votes to LEAVE [2016-06-24 00:48:12] tscha : I thought I had a typo [2016-06-24 00:48:51] tscha : 68.6% brexit - 31-4% bremain (Basildon) [2016-06-24 00:49:22] rapidtrades : yeaaaaaaaaaaaaaa [2016-06-24 00:49:35] rapidtrades : cmon britain makes us proud [2016-06-24 00:49:41] rapidtrades : and some monies too [2016-06-24 00:50:45] BitMEX_Arthur : Renfrewshire votes to REMAIN Remain 64.8%, Leave 35.2% 1:48am Midlothian votes to REMAIN Remain 62.1%, Leave 37.9% 1:48am Merthyr Tydfil votes to LEAVE Remain 43.6%, Leave 56.4% 1:48am Stockton-on-Tees votes to LEAVE Remain 38.3%, Leave 61.7% [2016-06-24 00:50:48] rapidtrades : Brexit totals: 723,486 leave 675,723 remain [2016-06-24 00:52:02] rapidtrades : lol leave at 52% now [2016-06-24 00:52:05] rapidtrades : holy shit [2016-06-24 00:52:15] BitMEX_Arthur : still no london yet [2016-06-24 00:52:21] BitMEX_Arthur : so don't get too happy [2016-06-24 00:52:52] rapidtrades : :) [2016-06-24 00:53:09] tscha : anybody knows what the expected % for remain is in London? [2016-06-24 00:53:32] rapidtrades : rochford 67% leave [2016-06-24 00:53:41] rapidtrades : leave now ahead 50k [2016-06-24 00:53:55] BitMEX_Arthur : cable rallying [2016-06-24 00:54:04] BitMEX_Arthur : someone must have some more results [2016-06-24 00:54:06] rapidtrades : i se that [2016-06-24 00:56:20] rapidtrades : things are heating up [2016-06-24 00:56:30] rapidtrades : leave now up 100k [2016-06-24 00:57:02] tscha : I wanted to go to bed at 11pm local time and get up at 6am.... now its 3am local time [2016-06-24 00:57:23] tscha : goddamn brexit vote [2016-06-24 00:57:32] BitMEX_Arthur : Haha I was going to go back to head cause i thot remain had it in the bag [2016-06-24 00:57:34] BitMEX_Arthur : guess not [2016-06-24 00:58:05] BitMEX_Arthur : Latest expert forecast: Leave will win A third forecast from the experts at the University of East Anglia - predicting a win for Leave. [2016-06-24 00:58:20] BitMEX_Arthur : common [2016-06-24 00:58:59] lockhedge : tscha: could only find this map of regional yougov poll results https://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/inlineimage/2016-06-20/freddie2.png [2016-06-24 00:59:19] tscha : lockhedge: nice, thx [2016-06-24 00:59:26] aethlios : pound down more [2016-06-24 00:59:43] laisee : It's not a legally binding referemdam, I thought? [2016-06-24 00:59:45] BitMEX_Arthur : giddy up baby [2016-06-24 00:59:59] BitMEX_Arthur : laisee: maybe i don't know, but that's almost irrelevant [2016-06-24 01:00:06] BitMEX_Arthur : if the population votes to leave and you dont [2016-06-24 01:00:08] BitMEX_Arthur : oh boy [2016-06-24 01:00:12] BitMEX_Arthur : that looks terrible [2016-06-24 01:00:26] BitMEX_Arthur : it's all sentiment [2016-06-24 01:00:28] laisee : Messy either way if leave wins [2016-06-24 01:00:39] BitMEX_Arthur : yeah we just want uncertainty [2016-06-24 01:01:03] laisee : FUD is the winner already ... [2016-06-24 01:01:11] BitMEX_Arthur : Weymouth and Portland: Remain 39%, Leave 61% Middlesbrough: Remain 34.5%, Leave 65.5% Blaenau Gwent: Remain 38%, Leave 62% Flintshire: Remain 43.6%, Leave 56.4% Brentwood: Remain, 40.8%, Leave 59.2% Strangford: Remain 44.5%, Leave 55.5% [2016-06-24 01:01:18] BitMEX_Arthur : LEAVE [2016-06-24 01:01:20] tscha : we just want to see the world burn... brexit + trump <3 [2016-06-24 01:01:26] BitMEX_Arthur : More REMAIN results City of London: Remain 75.3%, Leave 24.7% Inverclyde: Remain 63.8%, Leave 36.2% [2016-06-24 01:01:29] Rune : looks like leave is doing much better then expected [2016-06-24 01:01:43] BitMEX_Arthur : GBP down, Bitcorn up [2016-06-24 01:02:16] laisee : World in flames ... Bitcoin remains ... [2016-06-24 01:02:31] BitMEX_Arthur : Swansea votes to LEAVE Remain 48.5%, Leave 51.5% 2:01am Wellingborough votes LEAVE Remain 37.6%, Leave 62.4% 2:00am Southend-on-Sea votes LEAVE Remain 41.9%, Leave 58.1% [2016-06-24 01:03:08] tscha : BitMEX_Arthur: is that a bot copying those results or are you really that dedicated? :) [2016-06-24 01:03:09] Rune : looks like how well leave is doing is starting to price into bitcoins rise [2016-06-24 01:03:19] Rune : bitcoin could go up for hours [2016-06-24 01:03:32] BitMEX_Arthur : tscha: i love binary events that's me [2016-06-24 01:04:14] aethlios : pound 1.4401 [2016-06-24 01:04:18] BitMEX_Arthur : whole of my friend group is trading this shit too at banks and hedge funds, it's a fun morning [2016-06-24 01:04:27] rapidtrades : ive sold again...wish me luck [2016-06-24 01:04:28] aethlios : now selling pound hard [2016-06-24 01:04:41] aethlios : 1.4375 [2016-06-24 01:04:48] aethlios : 1.4351 [2016-06-24 01:05:03] BitMEX_Arthur : corn is rising [2016-06-24 01:05:05] aethlios : 1.4335 [2016-06-24 01:05:54] rapidtrades : KILL IT [2016-06-24 01:06:11] aethlios : 1.4315 almost session low [2016-06-24 01:06:40] aethlios : 1.429 [2016-06-24 01:06:50] BitMEX_Arthur : TO DA CORE [2016-06-24 01:06:57] boolander : gamma gamma gamma gamma hammmmmma [2016-06-24 01:07:00] Skitrx : pound is crashing? [2016-06-24 01:07:02] aethlios : new session low 1.4255 [2016-06-24 01:07:23] aethlios : 1.4195 [2016-06-24 01:07:25] BitMEX_Arthur : corn spiking in china [2016-06-24 01:07:36] lockhedge : i suspect Nigel Farage is personally trading this event [2016-06-24 01:07:41] BitMEX_Arthur : lol [2016-06-24 01:07:42] aethlios : pound -4.7% [2016-06-24 01:07:45] BitMEX_Arthur : has is IG brokers account [2016-06-24 01:07:48] BitMEX_Arthur : on steroids [2016-06-24 01:07:50] aethlios : gold up 2% [2016-06-24 01:08:13] aethlios : eur/usd -1.65% [2016-06-24 01:08:13] messiaen8844 : Arthur, where can I watch brexit/,main data [2016-06-24 01:08:18] tscha : leave now favourite at betting platforms [2016-06-24 01:08:19] messiaen8844 : ? [2016-06-24 01:08:22] rapidtrades : GUYS I THINK WE WON [2016-06-24 01:08:25] BitMEX_Arthur : http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016/06/23/eu-referendum-will-it-be-brexit-exit-poll-and-results-live/ [2016-06-24 01:08:27] boolander : wonder if any hedge funds / financial institutions blow up after this [2016-06-24 01:08:29] BitMEX_Arthur : rapidtrades: Don't get cocky [2016-06-24 01:08:34] rapidtrades : HOLY SHIT WE WON [2016-06-24 01:08:35] BitMEX_Arthur : London not in yet [2016-06-24 01:08:42] aethlios : bloodbath pound 1.4075 [2016-06-24 01:08:50] BitMEX_Arthur : damn [2016-06-24 01:09:03] BitMEX_Arthur : i mean i think everyone was sufficiently prepared for this [2016-06-24 01:09:09] BitMEX_Arthur : not a repeat of EUR/CHF [2016-06-24 01:09:38] BitMEX_Arthur : what's pound target if leave wins [2016-06-24 01:09:48] boolander : these moves still tend to shake up some bad risk management [2016-06-24 01:09:57] luckynuke : gb out ? [2016-06-24 01:10:26] BitMEX_Arthur : nah leave is doing better than expected [2016-06-24 01:10:30] BitMEX_Arthur : but it's still too early to call [2016-06-24 01:10:35] aethlios : I live in Greece, situation here very bad, domino will start soon in e.u. [2016-06-24 01:11:10] luckynuke : why isnt china moving their ass ? [2016-06-24 01:11:11] BitMEX_Arthur : Hopefully the PIGS can re-discover their backbone and tell the germans to go f themselves [2016-06-24 01:11:41] aethlios : dollar index up !% and gold up 2%, pound -6.7% devaluation to gold [2016-06-24 01:12:21] Rune : so brexit does affect bitcoins price [2016-06-24 01:12:27] Rune : I think it is obvious now [2016-06-24 01:12:55] BitMEX_Arthur : Senior labour figure tells me 'this has gone, Leave to win' - Don't jump up and down with joy or in despair, it's early and it's one source [2016-06-24 01:12:58] aethlios : all fiat devalue against gold, btc up against all fiat. gold btc wins [2016-06-24 01:13:56] boolander : economic realism rising up [2016-06-24 01:14:36] REKT : Liquidated long on `ETHXBT`: Sell 5 @ 0.02134 [2016-06-24 01:15:06] aethlios : S&P futures -2.1% [2016-06-24 01:15:16] aethlios : VIX futures up 16% [2016-06-24 01:16:31] Yumi : Arthur, will we get new monthly tomorow? [2016-06-24 01:16:44] BitMEX_Arthur : Yumi: No we will not, XBTU16 will remain [2016-06-24 01:16:57] BitMEX_Arthur : Our thinking right now is to move all quantos to the XBJ series [2016-06-24 01:17:22] BitMEX_Arthur : and we are working on allowing you to view the order book and enter orders in USD terms at a fixed USDJPY rate [2016-06-24 01:17:34] Yumi : it seems like a good idea [2016-06-24 01:17:55] rapidtrades : BOOKING ODDS NOW COMPLETELY SWITCHED [2016-06-24 01:17:59] BitMEX_Arthur : lol [2016-06-24 01:18:01] lockhedge : Camden only 65.6% turnout [2016-06-24 01:18:05] BitMEX_Arthur : man some bookies got recked [2016-06-24 01:18:15] BitMEX_Arthur : lockhedge: that positive for leave? [2016-06-24 01:18:32] lockhedge : yes [2016-06-24 01:18:54] luckynuke : hm sounds good for bitcoin i think [2016-06-24 01:19:07] BitMEX_Arthur : ain't over yet [2016-06-24 01:20:15] BitMEX_Arthur : "Turnout in Scotland has been considerably lower than expected. The SNP, the dominant party which ran huge campaigns for the independence referendum, UK election and Scottish elections, has run a lacklustre campaign with minimal ground activity. Sturgeon had more to say about criticising the Remain camp than making the positive case for Europe and she was nowhere to be seen until the dying days of the campaign." [2016-06-24 01:21:03] luckynuke : 4200cny [2016-06-24 01:22:21] boolander : chinese version of rocking the vote via the bitcorn [2016-06-24 01:22:56] lockhedge : Kensington & Chelsea only 66% turnout [2016-06-24 01:24:08] BitMEX_Arthur : not so fast look at GBP [2016-06-24 01:24:54] Rune : lag or just me? [2016-06-24 01:25:03] boolander : central banks all hands on deck [2016-06-24 01:25:21] luckynuke : Rune: not bitmex [2016-06-24 01:29:00] rapidtrades : GOT STOPPED AT BREAKEVEN [2016-06-24 01:29:32] rapidtrades : had 400p open profits...decided to ride it...dumb mistake [2016-06-24 01:30:16] rapidtrades : remain slught fav now [2016-06-24 01:33:29] rapidtrades : london saving remain for now [2016-06-24 01:35:26] Rune : This is the first good day I have had on XBTUSD ever [2016-06-24 01:36:28] rapidtrades : :) [2016-06-24 01:36:46] joequant : heh. heh. heh XBT is tracking the news reports. [2016-06-24 01:36:59] jung1 : Rune: you gonna loose that profit in next days [2016-06-24 01:37:14] Adura_ : Tighten your profit! [2016-06-24 01:37:33] Rune : jung1: :( [2016-06-24 01:38:00] jung1 : withdraw at least 50% of profits and start again [2016-06-24 01:38:10] joequant : I remember that the rumour is that the Rothschilds made a killing when they learned that Napoleon had lost Waterloo. Anyone that knows the results 10 seconds before anyone else could make a lot of money today. [2016-06-24 01:38:11] jung1 : at least you will buy some good whiskey [2016-06-24 01:39:21] jung1 : even LTC have 1000btc< volume on polo [2016-06-24 01:40:58] rapidtrades : remain now 51% [2016-06-24 01:42:04] mbaril : can someone explain quick what is the effect of brexit on the price of bitcoin ? [2016-06-24 01:42:16] jung1 : it will go up [2016-06-24 01:42:18] jung1 : or down [2016-06-24 01:42:24] Rune : fiat is dropping due to it [2016-06-24 01:42:26] nip : breferendum make the bitcorn more scarce [2016-06-24 01:42:29] Rune : so bitcoin goes up [2016-06-24 01:42:35] nip : more rare makes bitcoin go up [2016-06-24 01:42:53] rapidtrades : i think it wont have any long-term impact but thats' just me [2016-06-24 01:42:55] luckynuke : btc 4200 resistance